Sport Picks
United Arab Emirates U23 vs Iran U23
Asia
Asian Games Wave Stadium Kariya, Kariya 
Match Events
19'
19'
Ndiaye J.
46'
46'
Sub
Jafari F. In: Taheri K.
Out: Jafari F.
49'
49'
Shahrabadi P.
Assist: Moamelehgari F.
AI Match Summary
Iran U23 in this Asian Games matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iran U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- United Arab Emirates U23 have won more games recently than Iran U23.
- United Arab Emirates U23 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
United Arab Emirates U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Iran U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | United Arab Emirates U23 | Iran U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.06 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.67 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Asian Games
United Arab Emirates U23 vs Iran U23
1:3
Sep 9, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23
United Arab Emirates U23 vs Iran U23
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
United Arab Emirates U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Hunt M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34
Iran U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Shahrabadi P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mazrae Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
United Arab Emirates U23 42 / 100
Iran U23 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
United Arab Emirates U23 Iran U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
United Arab Emirates U23's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Recent resilience: United Arab Emirates U23 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Iran U23 has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
United Arab Emirates U23 VS Iran U23
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.33
75% Over 1.5 17%
38% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
United Arab Emirates U23
(Home) 16 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 3 Iran U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5 United Arab Emirates U23
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U23
1 : 1 United Arab Emirates U23
03 Jun
South Korea U23
1 : 1 United Arab Emirates U23
31 Mar
United Arab Emirates U23
3 : 1 Oman U23
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 3 Iran U23
31 Mar
United Arab Emirates U23
3 : 1 Oman U23
13 Jan
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 1 Syria U23
10 Jan
United Arab Emirates U23
0 : 3 Japan U23
04 Dec
United Arab Emirates U23
2 : 0 Oman U23
Page 1 of 4
Iran U23
(Away) 16 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 3 Iran U23
13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1 Lebanon U23
10 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 0 Uzbekistan U23
07 Jan
South Korea U23
0 : 0 Iran U23
18 Nov
Iran U23
1 : 0 Bahrain U23
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 3 Iran U23
07 Jan
South Korea U23
0 : 0 Iran U23
15 Nov
Kyrgyzstan U23
2 : 1 Iran U23
12 Nov
Russia U21
2 : 0 Iran U23
09 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
2 : 3 Iran U23
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Thailand U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Kyrgyzstan U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 4 | Hong Kong U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China U23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 2 | North Korea U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Iran U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 4 | United Arab Emirates U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | 2 |
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uzbekistan U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Vietnam U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Philippines U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Kuwait U23 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Korea U23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Saudi Arabia U23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Qatar U23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)
