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United Arab Emirates U23 vs Nepal U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U23 2018
United Arab Emirates U23 Logo

United Arab Emirates U23

5 - 0
FT
Nepal U23 Logo

Nepal U23

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The AFC Championship U23 2018 game between United Arab Emirates U23 and Nepal U23 finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward United Arab Emirates U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
United Arab Emirates U23
30%
Draws
0%
Nepal U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: United Arab Emirates U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and United Arab Emirates U23 come out ahead of Nepal U23 on wins alone.
  • United Arab Emirates U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Championship U23 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
United Arab Emirates U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Nepal U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United Arab Emirates U23 Nepal U23
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 1
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 2.17 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.17 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23
United Arab Emirates U23 vs Nepal U23
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United Arab Emirates U23 85 / 100
Nepal U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United Arab Emirates U23 Nepal U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick United Arab Emirates U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nepal U23 let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Nepal U23 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

United Arab Emirates U23 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

United Arab Emirates U23 VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

United Arab Emirates U23

(Home)
23 Sept
China U23
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U23
20 Sept
North Korea U23
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U23
16 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 3
Iran U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5
United Arab Emirates U23
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U23
1 : 1
United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 6

Nepal U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Philippines U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
06 Sept
Nepal U23
2 : 4
Syria U23
03 Sept
Tajikistan U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
31 Oct
Lebanon U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
28 Oct
Nepal U23
0 : 6
Tajikistan U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oman U23 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Iran U23 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
4 Sri Lanka U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Afghanistan U23 3 0 0 3 0:18 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Syria U23 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
3 India U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Turkmenistan U23 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine U23 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 Jordan U23 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Tajikistan U23 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Bangladesh U23 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Myanmar U23 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Singapore U23 3 1 0 2 4:10 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U23 3 2 1 0 14:2 7
2 Hong Kong U23 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
3 Laos U23 3 1 1 1 4:8 4
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U23 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 Thailand U23 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Indonesia U23 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
2 Vietnam U23 3 2 0 1 13:3 6
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 2:25 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Japan U23 3 2 0 1 11:2 6
3 Cambodia U23 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Philippines U23 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams