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United Kolkata vs Mohun Bagan U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

Calcutta Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
84' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Mohun Bagan U23 in this Calcutta Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mohun Bagan U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
United Kolkata
35%
Draws
38%
Mohun Bagan U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mohun Bagan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Mohun Bagan U23 have won more games recently than United Kolkata.
  • Mohun Bagan U23 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
United Kolkata Clean Sheet 10%
Mohun Bagan U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United Kolkata Mohun Bagan U23
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.85 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Calcutta Premier Division
United Kolkata vs Mohun Bagan U23
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United Kolkata 26 / 100
Mohun Bagan U23 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United Kolkata Mohun Bagan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: United Kolkata scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Mohun Bagan U23 conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

United Kolkata has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

United Kolkata VS Mohun Bagan U23
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

United Kolkata

(Home)
02 Sept
United Kolkata
0 : 3
East Bengal
26 Aug
Calcutta Customs
2 : 2
United Kolkata
23 Aug
BSS Sporting
0 : 2
United Kolkata
18 Aug
Bidhannagar Municipal SA
2 : 2
United Kolkata
13 Aug
George Telegrapher
1 : 7
United Kolkata
Page 1 of 6

Mohun Bagan U23

(Away)
19 Sept
Mohun Bagan U23
3 : 2
Mohammedan
14 Sept
United SC
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan U23
10 Sept
Coal India
1 : 5
Mohun Bagan U23
07 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan U23
01 Sept
BSS Sporting
0 : 3
Mohun Bagan U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 11 8 3 0 27:7 27
2 Bhawanipore 11 8 3 0 21:5 27
3 Mohun Bagan U23 11 7 2 2 26:6 23
4 Calcutta Customs 11 5 3 3 24:12 18
5 United Kolkata 11 4 4 3 22:16 16
6 Kalighat Milan Sangha 11 4 2 5 18:13 14
7 Railway FC 11 4 2 5 20:20 14
8 Kidderpore SC 11 2 6 3 15:18 12
9 BSS Sporting 11 3 3 5 17:21 12
10 Patha Chakra 11 3 1 7 12:32 10
11 George Telegrapher 11 2 1 8 7:33 7
12 Bidhannagar Municipal SA 11 0 2 9 5:31 2
Promotion - Calcutta Premier Division (Championship Group)
Relegation - Calcutta Premier Division (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coal India 11 6 4 1 18:7 22
2 Mohammedan 11 6 3 2 18:12 21
3 United SC 11 6 2 3 24:9 20
4 Peerless 11 6 2 3 20:9 20
5 Aryan 11 5 4 2 18:6 19
6 Calcutta Police 11 5 3 3 13:11 18
7 Police AC 11 4 5 2 13:11 17
8 Measures Club 11 3 6 2 21:17 15
9 Suruchi Sangha 11 2 3 6 11:20 9
10 Rainbow SC 11 2 1 8 13:31 7
11 Wari 11 1 4 6 9:28 7
12 Kalighat SL 11 0 3 8 4:21 3
Promotion - Calcutta Premier Division (Championship Group)
Relegation - Calcutta Premier Division (Relegation Group)