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United Riccione vs Matese Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group F 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Maio F.
89' Event
Caponi A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 game between United Riccione and Matese finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward United Riccione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
United Riccione
15%
Draws
85%
Matese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • United Riccione carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Matese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
United Riccione Clean Sheet 10%
Matese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United Riccione Matese
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.82 0.6
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group F
United Riccione vs Matese
2:0
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs United Riccione
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United Riccione Compare

Top Goalscorer Maio F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caponi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Matese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United Riccione 18 / 100
Matese 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United Riccione Matese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Matese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Matese's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

United Riccione's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

United Riccione VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

United Riccione

(Home)
11 May
United Riccione
0 : 3
San Marino Calcio
27 Apr
Sammaurese
2 : 0
United Riccione
17 Apr
United Riccione
0 : 3
Piacenza
13 Apr
Imolese
3 : 1
United Riccione
06 Apr
United Riccione
0 : 3
Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 7

Matese

(Away)
05 May
Matese
0 : 0
Calcio Chieti
28 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 0
Matese
21 Apr
Matese
0 : 2
Termoli
14 Apr
United Riccione
2 : 0
Matese
07 Apr
Matese
2 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 20 10 4 55:29 70
2 Aquila Calcio 34 20 8 6 40:22 68
3 Avezzano 34 17 8 9 50:33 59
4 Sambenedettese 34 15 13 6 57:36 58
5 Roma City 34 14 10 10 56:37 52
6 Atletico Ascoli 34 12 14 8 39:33 50
7 Vigor Senigallia 34 13 10 11 57:50 49
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 12 10 35:34 48
9 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 12 11 37:38 45
10 Termoli 34 11 10 13 30:36 43
11 Fossombrone 34 8 17 9 28:28 41
12 AS Sora 34 10 11 13 37:37 41
13 Real Monterotondo 34 12 5 17 42:60 41
14 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 7 17 38:55 37
15 United Riccione 34 10 7 17 48:51 37
16 Fano 34 6 14 14 35:49 32
17 Vastogirardi 34 7 8 19 26:51 29
18 Matese 34 6 8 20 20:51 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)