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United Riccione vs Piacenza

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

United Riccione play Piacenza in the Serie D - Group D 2024/2025. Piacenza are favorites here. Recently, United Riccione averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Piacenza averaged 1.89 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. In past meetings, United Riccione won 0, Piacenza won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 17, 2025 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for United Riccione and 1.30 for Piacenza. This points to a Piacenza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
United Riccione
19%
Draws
66%
Piacenza
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Piacenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • United Riccione picked up more points recently compared to Piacenza.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
United Riccione Clean Sheet 19%
Piacenza Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United Riccione Piacenza
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 4 24
Draws 7 6
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 0.63 1.89
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.92

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group D
United Riccione vs Piacenza
0:3
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Piacenza vs United Riccione
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United Riccione Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Piacenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Andreoli N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Recino G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United Riccione 17 / 100
Piacenza 62 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United Riccione Piacenza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piacenza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Piacenza & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

United Riccione attacking → ← attacking Piacenza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United Riccione scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Piacenza let in goals in 70% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

United Riccione went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Piacenza lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 78
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Forli FC34273475:2484
2Ravenna34235665:2774
3Lentigione341811548:2765
4Tau34189754:2763
5Pistoiese34187945:2361
6Imolese341411952:4453
7Cittadella Vis Modena341381348:4047
8Piacenza3410121238:4042
9Prato341191434:3842
10Tuttocuoio3410121232:4342
11SCD Progresso3410111324:3241
12San Marino Calcio341081638:5138
13Sasso Marconi349101539:5137
14Corticella341061837:6536
15Sammaurese347101727:3731
16Fiorenzuola34752221:4626
17Zenith Prato341081636:5123
18United Riccione34572222:6922