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United SC vs Diamond Rock

India India

I-League 2 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

United SC play Diamond Rock in the I-League 2 2022/2023. United SC are favorites here. Recently, United SC averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. Diamond Rock averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. In past meetings, United SC won 2, Diamond Rock won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 29, 2023 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for United SC and 0.75 for Diamond Rock. This points to a United SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
United SC
23%
Draws
9%
Diamond Rock
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: United SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • United SC picked up more points recently compared to Diamond Rock.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
United SC Clean Sheet 27%
Diamond Rock Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United SC Diamond Rock
Matches Played 32 9
Wins 18 1
Draws 9 0
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.31 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.78 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 I-League 2
Diamond Rock vs United SC
2:3
Apr 4, 2023 I-League 2
United SC vs Diamond Rock
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Murmu D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chakraborty A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Diamond Rock Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United SC 67 / 100
Diamond Rock 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United SC Diamond Rock

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick United SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick United SC & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.6%
1.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

United SC attacking → ← attacking Diamond Rock

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United SC scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Diamond Rock let in goals in 89% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

United SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Diamond Rock lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 3
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Delhi FC851220:516
2Downtown Heroes84227:514
3Jagat Singh Palahi841310:913
4Techtro Swades84049:812
5Mumbai City 280264:232
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1United SC64209:414
2Lajong641113:313
3East Bengal 262138:87
4Diamond Rock60063:180
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bengaluru United852121:517
2Golden Threads833213:1112
3Bengaluru FC 2832310:1111
4Chennaiyin FC 283057:179
5RKM82158:157
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ambernath United852117:917
2Ara852113:517
3Dempo84229:614
4Hyderabad 281164:104
5FC Goa 281164:174