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United SC vs Mohun Bagan U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

Calcutta Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Malik S.
90'
Yadav A.
90' Event
Shome S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Calcutta Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
United SC
35%
Draws
36%
Mohun Bagan U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mohun Bagan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Mohun Bagan U23 average 2.03 goals a game right now, well clear of United SC's 1.41.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
United SC Clean Sheet 16%
Mohun Bagan U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United SC Mohun Bagan U23
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.41 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Calcutta Premier Division
United SC vs Mohun Bagan U23
1:1
Aug 5, 2023 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan U23 vs United SC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Shome S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Mohun Bagan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Malik S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United SC 30 / 100
Mohun Bagan U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United SC Mohun Bagan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick United SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United SC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

United SC scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Mohun Bagan U23 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

United SC VS Mohun Bagan U23
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

United SC

(Home)
19 Sept
Bhawanipore
0 : 0
United SC
14 Sept
United SC
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan U23
11 Sept
United SC
0 : 0
East Bengal
04 Sept
United SC
8 : 0
Wari
31 Aug
United SC
5 : 1
Suruchi Sangha
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Mohun Bagan U23

(Away)
19 Sept
Mohun Bagan U23
3 : 2
Mohammedan
14 Sept
United SC
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan U23
10 Sept
Coal India
1 : 5
Mohun Bagan U23
07 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan U23
01 Sept
BSS Sporting
0 : 3
Mohun Bagan U23
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