Sport Picks

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United SC vs NEROCA

India India

I-League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Shome S.

AI Match Summary

The I-League 2 game between United SC and NEROCA finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward United SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
United SC
35%
Draws
25%
NEROCA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: United SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • NEROCA haven't matched United SC's recent run of results.
  • United SC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular I-League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • United SC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
United SC Clean Sheet 20%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United SC NEROCA
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 19 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 I-League 2
United SC vs NEROCA
1:0
Apr 18, 2025 I-League 2
United SC vs NEROCA
2:1
Mar 6, 2025 I-League 2
NEROCA vs United SC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Shome S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

NEROCA Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United SC 85 / 100
NEROCA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United SC NEROCA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick United SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NEROCA let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

United SC found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (38 games).

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Solid form: United SC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

United SC VS NEROCA
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

United SC

(Home)
14 Sept
United SC
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan U23
11 Sept
United SC
0 : 0
East Bengal
04 Sept
United SC
8 : 0
Wari
31 Aug
United SC
5 : 1
Suruchi Sangha
28 Aug
Aryan
2 : 1
United SC
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NEROCA

(Away)
12 Aug
NEROCA
3 : 1
Raengdai
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2
Indian Navy
28 Jul
TRAU FC
0 : 0
NEROCA
14 May
NEROCA
1 : 3
Sudeva Delhi
08 May
NEROCA
2 : 2
Karbi Anglong
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Delhi FC 8 5 2 1 20:10 17
2 Bengaluru United 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
3 United SC 8 4 3 1 7:5 15
4 SC Bengaluru 8 3 2 3 13:15 11
5 SC Goa 8 3 1 4 8:11 10
6 Karbi Anglong 8 2 4 2 10:7 10
7 Sudeva Delhi 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
8 MYJ-GMSC 8 1 2 5 8:19 5
9 NEROCA 8 1 2 5 11:15 5
Promotion - I-League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - I-League 3 2026/2027 (Main)