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United States Virgin Islands W vs Antigua and Barbuda W

World World

Friendly International Women 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
de Souza G.
67' Event
Kai J.
71' Event
Rapuano L.

AI Match Summary

Antigua and Barbuda W in this Friendly International Women 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Antigua and Barbuda W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
United States Virgin Islands W
22%
Draws
18%
Antigua and Barbuda W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: United States Virgin Islands W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Antigua and Barbuda W have won more games recently than United States Virgin Islands W.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on United States Virgin Islands W taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Antigua and Barbuda W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%
United States Virgin Islands W Clean Sheet 18%
Antigua and Barbuda W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United States Virgin Islands W Antigua and Barbuda W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 1 2
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 2.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2024 Friendly International Women
Antigua and Barbuda W vs United States Virgin Islands W
4:0
Feb 13, 2022 Friendly International Women
United States Virgin Islands W vs Antigua and Barbuda W
1:2
Feb 10, 2022 Friendly International Women
United States Virgin Islands W vs Antigua and Barbuda W
0:4
May 23, 2014 CONCACAF Championship Women
Antigua and Barbuda W vs United States Virgin Islands W
1:0
Mar 14, 2010 CONCACAF Championship Women
Antigua and Barbuda W vs United States Virgin Islands W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United States Virgin Islands W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rapuano L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Antigua and Barbuda W Compare

Top Goalscorer de Souza G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kai J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United States Virgin Islands W 58 / 100
Antigua and Barbuda W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United States Virgin Islands W Antigua and Barbuda W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Antigua and Barbuda W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Away concern: Antigua and Barbuda W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

United States Virgin Islands W scored in 39% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

United States Virgin Islands W VS Antigua and Barbuda W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%