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United States Virgin Islands W vs Bahamas W

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gold Cup Women tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
United States Virgin Islands W
11%
Draws
9%
Bahamas W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: United States Virgin Islands W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to United States Virgin Islands W lately — more wins on the board than Bahamas W.
  • Model gives United States Virgin Islands W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • United States Virgin Islands W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
United States Virgin Islands W Clean Sheet 10%
Bahamas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United States Virgin Islands W Bahamas W
Matches Played 31 4
Wins 9 0
Draws 1 1
Losses 21 3
Goals Scored 0.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 3.63 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Bahamas W vs United States Virgin Islands W
1:2
Oct 29, 2023 Gold Cup Women
United States Virgin Islands W vs Bahamas W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United States Virgin Islands W 74 / 100
Bahamas W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United States Virgin Islands W Bahamas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahamas W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 4 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Bahamas W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

United States Virgin Islands W found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

United States Virgin Islands W VS Bahamas W
0.25 Goals Scored 0.75
3.63 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

United States Virgin Islands W

(Home)
14 Apr
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W
1 : 0
United States Virgin Islands W
11 Apr
Mexico W
9 : 0
United States Virgin Islands W
05 Mar
United States Virgin Islands W
0 : 9
Puerto Rico W
27 Nov
United States Virgin Islands W
3 : 1
Saint Lucia W
25 Oct
United States Virgin Islands W
6 : 0
British Virgin Islands W
Page 1 of 7

Bahamas W

(Away)
29 Nov
Bahamas W
1 : 2
United States Virgin Islands W
29 Oct
United States Virgin Islands W
0 : 0
Bahamas W
24 Sept
Grenada W
4 : 1
Bahamas W
20 Sept
Bahamas W
1 : 6
Grenada W