Sport Picks

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Univ. Alba Iulia vs CSM Deva

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 7
Fri, Sep 18, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Univ. Alba Iulia host CSM Deva in the Liga 3 - Seria 7. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Univ. Alba Iulia at 1.71 goals for, 1.89 against; CSM Deva at 2.19 for, 1.93 against. Past meetings favor CSM Deva slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2023, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.11 xG vs 1.24) point toward CSM Deva. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Univ. Alba Iulia
30%
Draws
47%
CSM Deva
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSM Deva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSM Deva lately — more wins on the board than Univ. Alba Iulia.
  • Univ. Alba Iulia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Univ. Alba Iulia Clean Sheet 19%
CSM Deva Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Univ. Alba Iulia CSM Deva
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.71 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.11 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2023 Romanian Cup
Univ. Alba Iulia vs CSM Deva
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Univ. Alba Iulia 85 / 100
CSM Deva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Univ. Alba Iulia CSM Deva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Univ. Alba Iulia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Univ. Alba Iulia's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

CSM Deva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Univ. Alba Iulia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Univ. Alba Iulia VS CSM Deva
1.63 Goals Scored 1.6
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.6
63% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Univ. Alba Iulia

(Home)
11 Sept
Politehnica Timisoara II
3 : 2
Univ. Alba Iulia
04 Sept
Univ. Alba Iulia
2 : 2
Viitorul Arad
29 Aug
AFC Nera Bogodinti
0 : 0
Univ. Alba Iulia
29 Jul
Univ. Alba Iulia
3 : 4
Blaj
16 May
Univ. Alba Iulia
6 : 2
Progresul Pecica
Page 1 of 6

CSM Deva

(Away)
11 Sept
CSM Deva
3 : 1
Progresul Pecica
04 Sept
Timisul Sag
1 : 1
CSM Deva
28 Aug
Politehnica Timisoara II
1 : 4
CSM Deva
07 Aug
Unirea Alba-Iulia
15 : 0
CSM Deva
18 May
CSO Filiasi
0 : 2
CSM Deva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blaj 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 CSM Deva 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
3 Timisul Sag 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Viitorul Arad 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
5 Progresul Pecica 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
6 Unirea Alba-Iulia 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
7 Unirea Santana 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
8 Politehnica Timisoara II 3 1 0 2 6:11 3
9 Univ. Alba Iulia 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
10 Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
11 Metalurgistul Cugir 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
12 AFC Nera Bogodinti 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 7 (Relegation Group)