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Univ. Alba Iulia vs Progresul Pecica

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 7 2025/2026 game between Univ. Alba Iulia and Progresul Pecica finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Univ. Alba Iulia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Univ. Alba Iulia
30%
Draws
31%
Progresul Pecica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Univ. Alba Iulia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Univ. Alba Iulia haven't matched Progresul Pecica's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Univ. Alba Iulia a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Univ. Alba Iulia here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Univ. Alba Iulia Clean Sheet 13%
Progresul Pecica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Univ. Alba Iulia Progresul Pecica
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.62 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Univ. Alba Iulia vs Progresul Pecica
6:2
Mar 7, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Univ. Alba Iulia vs Progresul Pecica
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Progresul Pecica vs Univ. Alba Iulia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Univ. Alba Iulia 57 / 100
Progresul Pecica 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Univ. Alba Iulia Progresul Pecica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Univ. Alba Iulia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Univ. Alba Iulia scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Progresul Pecica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Univ. Alba Iulia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Univ. Alba Iulia VS Progresul Pecica
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Univ. Alba Iulia

(Home)
04 Sept
Univ. Alba Iulia
2 : 2
Viitorul Arad
29 Aug
AFC Nera Bogodinti
0 : 0
Univ. Alba Iulia
29 Jul
Univ. Alba Iulia
3 : 4
Blaj
16 May
Univ. Alba Iulia
6 : 2
Progresul Pecica
08 May
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii
4 : 0
Univ. Alba Iulia
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Progresul Pecica

(Away)
04 Sept
Progresul Pecica
5 : 2
Politehnica Timisoara II
29 Aug
Viitorul Arad
0 : 0
Progresul Pecica
29 Jul
Timisul Sag
1 : 0
Progresul Pecica
20 Jun
Progresul Pecica
0 : 3
FC UTA Arad
16 May
Univ. Alba Iulia
6 : 2
Progresul Pecica
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