Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Univ. Craiova vs FC UTA Arad

Romania Romania

Superliga Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Etim M.
38'
Mekvabishvili A.
44'
Pospelov D.

AI Match Summary

The Superliga game between Univ. Craiova and FC UTA Arad finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Univ. Craiova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Univ. Craiova
11%
Draws
9%
FC UTA Arad
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Univ. Craiova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Univ. Craiova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Univ. Craiova taking it.
  • Regular Superliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Univ. Craiova Clean Sheet 68%
FC UTA Arad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Univ. Craiova FC UTA Arad
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 21 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Superliga
Univ. Craiova vs FC UTA Arad
4:0
Nov 9, 2025 Superliga
Univ. Craiova vs FC UTA Arad
1:2
Jul 12, 2025 Superliga
FC UTA Arad vs Univ. Craiova
3:3
Nov 25, 2024 Superliga
FC UTA Arad vs Univ. Craiova
1:2
Jul 20, 2024 Superliga
Univ. Craiova vs FC UTA Arad
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Univ. Craiova Compare

Top Goalscorer Teles Samuel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baiaram S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

FC UTA Arad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Univ. Craiova 86 / 100
FC UTA Arad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Univ. Craiova FC UTA Arad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Univ. Craiova scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Univ. Craiova has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC UTA Arad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Univ. Craiova VS FC UTA Arad
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Univ. Craiova

(Home)
18 Jul
Univ. Craiova
4 : 0
FC UTA Arad
15 Jul
Univ. Craiova
1 : 0
ML Vitebsk
12 Jul
Univ. Craiova
2 : 1
Universitatea Cluj
08 Jul
ML Vitebsk
1 : 4
Univ. Craiova
29 Jun
Univ. Craiova
4 : 3
Polissya Zhytomyr
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FC UTA Arad

(Away)
18 Jul
Univ. Craiova
4 : 0
FC UTA Arad
08 Jul
Istra 1961
2 : 2
FC UTA Arad
27 Jun
FC UTA Arad
4 : 0
CSC Dumbravita
20 Jun
Progresul Pecica
0 : 3
FC UTA Arad
18 May
Unirea Slobozia
0 : 1
FC UTA Arad
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FCSB22004:06
2Rapid Bucuresti21102:14
3Otelul21104:34
4CFR Cluj21016:23
5Dinamo Bucuresti21015:23
6Farul Constanta21013:23
7Corvinul Hunedoara21013:23
8Universitatea Cluj21012:23
9Petrolul21011:13
10Univ. Craiova21015:53
11Sepsi21011:13
12Campionii Arges21011:23
13FC Botosani20203:32
14FC UTA Arad20112:61
15Voluntari20112:71
16Miercurea Ciuc20020:50
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation Group)