Sport Picks

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Univ. Craiova vs ML Vitebsk

Europe Europe

Champions League Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Al Hamlawi A.
42'
Etim M.
46'
Sub
Romanchuk O. In: Stevanovic N.
Out: Romanchuk O.

AI Match Summary

Univ. Craiova in this Champions League tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Univ. Craiova
40%
Draws
29%
ML Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • ML Vitebsk haven't matched Univ. Craiova's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Univ. Craiova have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Univ. Craiova, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Univ. Craiova Clean Sheet 13%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Univ. Craiova ML Vitebsk
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 18 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 2.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Champions League
Univ. Craiova vs ML Vitebsk
1:0
Jul 8, 2026 Champions League
ML Vitebsk vs Univ. Craiova
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Univ. Craiova Compare

Top Goalscorer Bancu N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

ML Vitebsk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Univ. Craiova 31 / 100
ML Vitebsk 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Univ. Craiova ML Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Univ. Craiova found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

ML Vitebsk has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Univ. Craiova has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Univ. Craiova VS ML Vitebsk
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Univ. Craiova

(Home)
25 Jul
Dinamo Bucuresti
5 : 1
Univ. Craiova
22 Jul
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
Univ. Craiova
18 Jul
Univ. Craiova
4 : 0
FC UTA Arad
15 Jul
Univ. Craiova
1 : 0
ML Vitebsk
12 Jul
Univ. Craiova
2 : 1
Universitatea Cluj
Page 1 of 6

ML Vitebsk

(Away)
23 Jul
ML Vitebsk
3 : 0
Sutjeska
15 Jul
Univ. Craiova
1 : 0
ML Vitebsk
08 Jul
ML Vitebsk
1 : 4
Univ. Craiova
01 Jul
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 4
ML Vitebsk
27 Jun
ML Vitebsk
2 : 1
Naftan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Thun-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Klaksvik4
Bissen2
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Drita3
Mjallby-
TBD-
Lincoln Red Imps4
Inter Escaldes2
Flora4
Iberia 19995
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia5
ML Vitebsk1
Univ. Craiova5
Omonia-
TBD-
Kairat Almaty4
Sutjeska1
Aarhus-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Sabah Baku4
TNS1
Vardar3
KuPS4
Ararat-Armenia4
Riga FC3
Floriana3
Shamrock Rovers5
Petrocub Hincesti2
KF Egnatia7
TBD-
Celje-
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Gyor2
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Tre Fiori1
Larne3
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Thun1
Din. Zagreb1
Klaksvik0
FK Kauno Zalgiris0
Mjallby3
Lincoln Red Imps0
Iberia 19990
Slovan Bratislava2
Levski Sofia1
Univ. Craiova0
Omonia1
Kairat Almaty0
Aarhus1
Lech Poznan4
Sabah Baku1
KuPS0
Ararat-Armenia2
Shamrock Rovers0
KF Egnatia3
Celje3
Vikingur Reykjavik2
H. Beer Sheva1
Larne0
Crvena zvezda4
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce1
Gornik Zabrze0
Sturm Graz4
Hearts0
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
Bodo/Glimt-
TBD-
TBD-
Sparta Prague-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-