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Univ. Craiova vs KF Egnatia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Conference League Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Univ. Craiova host KF Egnatia in the Conference League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Univ. Craiova at 1.96 goals for, 0.89 against; KF Egnatia at 2 for, 1.32 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 0.88) point toward Univ. Craiova. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Univ. Craiova
30%
Draws
32%
KF Egnatia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Univ. Craiova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Univ. Craiova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Univ. Craiova Clean Sheet 20%
KF Egnatia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Univ. Craiova KF Egnatia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.96 2
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Univ. Craiova 31 / 100
KF Egnatia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Univ. Craiova KF Egnatia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Univ. Craiova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Univ. Craiova scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Univ. Craiova stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

KF Egnatia let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Univ. Craiova VS KF Egnatia
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Univ. Craiova

(Home)
22 Oct
Inter Escaldes
1 : 3
Univ. Craiova
18 Oct
Univ. Craiova
2 : 0
Farul Constanta
15 Oct
Univ. Craiova
1 : 1
Getafe
11 Oct
Miercurea Ciuc
0 : 1
Univ. Craiova
04 Oct
CSM Slatina
0 : 4
Univ. Craiova
Page 1 of 6

KF Egnatia

(Away)
22 Oct
Aarhus
1 : 1
KF Egnatia
18 Oct
KF Egnatia
3 : 1
Vllaznia
15 Oct
KF Egnatia
1 : 1
Midtjylland
11 Oct
Laci
0 : 2
KF Egnatia
20 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1
Partizani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Lugano 2 2 0 0 8:4 6
3 Brann 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Trabzonspor 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
5 Twente 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
6 Monaco 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
7 St. Truiden 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
8 Hajduk Split 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
9 Brighton 2 1 1 0 4:0 4
10 FC Copenhagen 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
11 Univ. Craiova 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
12 Mjallby 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
13 Ajax 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
14 Borac Banja Luka 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
15 Atalanta 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
16 Braga 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
17 Gent 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
18 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
19 Nordsjaelland 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
20 KF Egnatia 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
21 Riga FC 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
22 Crvena zvezda 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
23 CSKA Sofia 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
24 Jablonec 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
25 Midtjylland 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
26 Aarhus 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
27 Pafos 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
28 Hearts 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
29 Iberia 1999 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
30 Getafe 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
31 Kairat Almaty 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
32 Thun 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
33 Lincoln Red Imps 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
34 KuPS 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
35 Inter Escaldes 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
36 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)