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Univ. Craiova vs ML Vitebsk

Europe Europe

Champions League Stadionul Ion Oblemenco
Wed, Jul 15, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Univ. Craiova play ML Vitebsk in the Champions League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Univ. Craiova averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. ML Vitebsk averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Univ. Craiova won 1, ML Vitebsk won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 8, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Univ. Craiova and 1.63 for ML Vitebsk. This points to a Univ. Craiova double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Univ. Craiova
22%
Draws
18%
ML Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Univ. Craiova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • ML Vitebsk demonstrates higher offensive output (2.5 avg goals) than Univ. Craiova (2.13 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Univ. Craiova.
  • Cup tournament structure in Champions League increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Univ. Craiova Clean Sheet 14%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Univ. Craiova ML Vitebsk
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 18 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.13 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Champions League
ML Vitebsk vs Univ. Craiova
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Univ. Craiova 57 / 100
ML Vitebsk 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Univ. Craiova ML Vitebsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Univ. Craiova scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

ML Vitebsk let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Univ. Craiova went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

ML Vitebsk lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Univ. Craiova VS ML Vitebsk
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mjallby-
TBD-
Lincoln Red Imps3
Inter Escaldes1
Tre Fiori0
Larne1
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Sabah Baku2
TNS0
Vardar0
KuPS2
Klaksvik2
Bissen1
FK Kauno Zalgiris1
Drita1
Aarhus-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Ararat-Armenia2
Riga FC0
Floriana2
Shamrock Rovers0
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia1
ML Vitebsk1
Univ. Craiova4
Omonia-
TBD-
Kairat Almaty2
Sutjeska1
Thun-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Vikingur Reykjavik1
Gyor0
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Flora2
Iberia 19993
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
Petrocub Hincesti1
KF Egnatia1
TBD-
Celje-
Fenerbahce-
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Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
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Hearts-
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Quarter-finals
Mjallby-
TBD-
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Crvena zvezda-
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Aarhus-
Lech Poznan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Omonia-
TBD-
Thun-
Din. Zagreb-
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
TBD-
Celje-
Fenerbahce-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
Hearts-
TBD-
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Semi-finals
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Final
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