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Univ. of Queensland vs Acacia Ridge

Australia Australia

Brisbane Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Jakupovic A.
38' Event
Johnston L.
73' Event
Onederra T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Brisbane Premier League game between Univ. of Queensland and Acacia Ridge finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Univ. of Queensland
11%
Draws
80%
Acacia Ridge
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Acacia Ridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Acacia Ridge carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Acacia Ridge are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Brisbane Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Univ. of Queensland Clean Sheet 10%
Acacia Ridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Univ. of Queensland Acacia Ridge
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.88 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Univ. of Queensland vs Acacia Ridge
2:2
May 1, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Acacia Ridge vs Univ. of Queensland
0:2
Aug 10, 2019 Brisbane Premier League
Acacia Ridge vs Univ. of Queensland
3:1
May 4, 2019 Brisbane Premier League
Univ. of Queensland vs Acacia Ridge
0:1
Aug 11, 2018 Brisbane Premier League
Acacia Ridge vs Univ. of Queensland
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Univ. of Queensland Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnston L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Acacia Ridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakupovic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Navarro-Falcon J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Univ. of Queensland 10 / 100
Acacia Ridge 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Univ. of Queensland Acacia Ridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Acacia Ridge conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Univ. of Queensland scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Univ. of Queensland went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Univ. of Queensland VS Acacia Ridge
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Univ. of Queensland

(Home)
25 Sept
Toowong City
0 : 1
Univ. of Queensland
18 Sept
Univ. of Queensland
1 : 2
St. George Willawong
11 Sept
Bayside United
2 : 0
Univ. of Queensland
04 Sept
Univ. of Queensland
2 : 2
Acacia Ridge
29 Aug
Univ. of Queensland
3 : 1
Brisbane Knights
Page 1 of 6

Acacia Ridge

(Away)
02 Oct
Acacia Ridge
4 : 2
Toowong City
25 Sept
Acacia Ridge
2 : 1
Centenary Stormers
18 Sept
The Gap
0 : 1
Acacia Ridge
11 Sept
Acacia Ridge
4 : 1
Western Spirit FC
04 Sept
Univ. of Queensland
2 : 2
Acacia Ridge
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albany Creek221930102:1860
2Bayside United22142648:2544
3The Lakes FC22133660:4542
4St. George Willawong22122856:3938
5Gravatt22103938:4133
6Acacia Ridge22103942:4733
7Toowong City2295847:4632
8Univ. of Queensland22731227:4624
9Centenary Stormers22651130:4923
10The Gap22451319:4417
11Western Spirit FC22441436:7016
12Brisbane Knights22421629:6414
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