Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Universidad Central vs Rosario Central Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Di Maria A.
20'
Sole F.
35' Event
Ovando I.
Assist: Campaz J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Universidad Central
35%
Draws
34%
Rosario Central
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Rosario Central have won more games recently than Universidad Central.
  • Model gives Universidad Central a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Rosario Central arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rosario Central, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Universidad Central Clean Sheet 68%
Rosario Central Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universidad Central Rosario Central
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Rosario Central vs Universidad Central
4:0
Apr 29, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Universidad Central vs Rosario Central
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Universidad Central Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Rosario Central Compare

Top Goalscorer Ovando I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Copetti E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universidad Central 59 / 100
Rosario Central 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universidad Central Rosario Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Universidad Central Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Universidad Central has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Universidad Central's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Rosario Central let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Universidad Central VS Rosario Central
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Universidad Central

(Home)
19 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 1
Carabobo
15 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 0
Academia Anzoategui
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Universidad Central
07 Sept
Universidad Central
0 : 0
Academia Puerto Cabello
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1
Universidad Central
Page 1 of 6

Rosario Central

(Away)
26 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 3
Rosario Central
20 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 0
Argentinos Jrs
13 Sept
Tigre
0 : 1
Rosario Central
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
29 Aug
Rosario Central
1 : 2
Gimnasia L.P.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
3 Ind. Medellin 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 4:12 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Universitario de Deportes 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 15:6 16
2 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Bolivar 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 6:13 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
2 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
4 Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 2:12 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Platense 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
4 Penarol 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 6:2 13
2 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 6:9 6
4 Junior 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LDU Quito 6 4 0 2 8:5 12
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 3:7 9
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 7:9 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 9:1 13
3 Universidad Central 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)