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Universidad de Zaragoza vs UD Barbastro

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Tercera Division - Group 17 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Universidad de Zaragoza in this Tercera Division - Group 17 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Universidad de Zaragoza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Universidad de Zaragoza
33%
Draws
40%
UD Barbastro
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: UD Barbastro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Barbastro lately — more wins on the board than Universidad de Zaragoza.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on UD Barbastro taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Universidad de Zaragoza Clean Sheet 20%
UD Barbastro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universidad de Zaragoza UD Barbastro
Matches Played 30 45
Wins 12 21
Draws 5 14
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0 0.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Universidad de Zaragoza vs UD Barbastro
5:2
Sep 25, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Barbastro vs Universidad de Zaragoza
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universidad de Zaragoza 28 / 100
UD Barbastro 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universidad de Zaragoza UD Barbastro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Universidad de Zaragoza's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Universidad de Zaragoza stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: UD Barbastro conceded in 58% of 45 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS UD Barbastro
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Universidad de Zaragoza

(Home)
12 May
Utebo FC
2 : 2
Universidad de Zaragoza
06 May
Universidad de Zaragoza
1 : 0
Villanueva CF
01 May
UD San Jose
2 : 3
Universidad de Zaragoza
29 Apr
Universidad de Zaragoza
0 : 2
SD Ejea
22 Apr
CD Quinto
0 : 0
Universidad de Zaragoza
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UD Barbastro

(Away)
03 May
Sant Andreu
0 : 1
UD Barbastro
26 Apr
UD Barbastro
3 : 1
Castellon B
19 Apr
Torrent
1 : 2
UD Barbastro
12 Apr
UD Barbastro
2 : 0
Porreres
05 Apr
Olot
1 : 0
UD Barbastro
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SD Ejea382211576:3777
2Sarinena382210666:2776
3CD Cuarte38219868:4072
4Utebo FC381813757:3367
5Valdefierro381981152:3765
6Sabinanigo381791257:4560
7Atletico Calatayud3815131046:3258
8Villanueva CF381691360:4957
9Binefar3814121245:4154
10UD Barbastro3813121360:6251
11Oliver381491554:5651
12Ebro381481648:5050
13Atletico Monzon3812121443:4948
14Tarazona3812101643:5046
15Robres381291739:5245
16Universidad de Zaragoza381371855:6643
17CD Tauste3810101852:6140
18Giner Torrero38872340:7131
19CD Quinto38792223:6730
20UD San Jose38552834:9320
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)