Sport Picks
Universitario de Deportes vs Atletico Grau
Peru
Copa de la Liga Estadio Monumental, Lima 
Match Events
4'
4'
Caceres A.
48'
48'
Ruidiaz Y.
(Penalty)
50'
50'
Gonzales M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Universitario de Deportes come out ahead of Atletico Grau on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Universitario de Deportes have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Atletico Grau, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Universitario de Deportes | Atletico Grau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 26, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Universitario de Deportes vs Atletico Grau
1:1
May 16, 2026 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Atletico Grau
0:1
Aug 1, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Atletico Grau
3:1
Jun 26, 2025 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Universitario de Deportes
0:2
Jul 21, 2024 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Universitario de Deportes
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Universitario de Deportes Compare
Top Goalscorer Caceres A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19
Atletico Grau Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Universitario de Deportes 32 / 100
Atletico Grau 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Universitario de Deportes Atletico Grau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Universitario de Deportes found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).
Atletico Grau let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Universitario de Deportes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Universitario de Deportes VS Atletico Grau
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Universitario de Deportes
(Home) 11 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 0 Millonarios
26 Jun
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1 Atletico Grau
13 Jun
Pirata
2 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
31 May
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 1 Sport Huancayo
27 May
Universitario de Deportes
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 7
11 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 0 Millonarios
26 Jun
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1 Atletico Grau
31 May
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 1 Sport Huancayo
27 May
Universitario de Deportes
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
16 May
Universitario de Deportes
0 : 1 Atletico Grau
Page 1 of 4
Atletico Grau
(Away) 09 Jul
Atletico Grau
2 : 1 Carlos Mannucci
26 Jun
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1 Atletico Grau
22 Jun
Atletico Grau
3 : 2 Pirata
29 May
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 Moquegua
23 May
Cusco
1 : 0 Atletico Grau
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1 Atletico Grau
23 May
Cusco
1 : 0 Atletico Grau
16 May
Universitario de Deportes
0 : 1 Atletico Grau
02 May
AD Tarma
1 : 0 Atletico Grau
17 Apr
Los Chankas
2 : 0 Atletico Grau
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Atl. | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Carlos Mannucci | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 3 | A. Lima | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 4 | Cesar Vallejo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADA Jaen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 4 |
| 2 | Juan Pablo II | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 3 | Comerciantes Unidos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cajamarca | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 2 | Llacuabamba | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 3 | FC Cajamarca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Grau | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 2 | Pirata | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 2 | AD Tarma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Alianza Huanuco | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Union Minas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cienciano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Binacional | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 4 | Cusco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Chankas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Santos FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Ayacucho | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moquegua | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 2 | Tacna Heroica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Boys | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 2 | AD Cantolao | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 3 | U. San Martin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Comerciantes FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Union Comercio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Estudiantil CNI | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)