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Universitario de Deportes vs FC Cajamarca

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Monumental, Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

59'
Sub
Perez Guedes M. In: Fertoli H.
Out: Perez Guedes M.
63'
Sub
Palacios B. In: Meza C.
Out: Palacios B.
66' Event
Alzugaray L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Universitario de Deportes and FC Cajamarca finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Universitario de Deportes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Universitario de Deportes
11%
Draws
9%
FC Cajamarca
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Universitario de Deportes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Universitario de Deportes come out ahead of FC Cajamarca on wins alone.
  • Model gives Universitario de Deportes a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 68%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Deportes FC Cajamarca
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 14 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs FC Cajamarca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Universitario de Deportes Compare

Top Goalscorer Alzugaray L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

FC Cajamarca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Deportes 86 / 100
FC Cajamarca 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Deportes FC Cajamarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Cajamarca conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Universitario de Deportes's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Universitario de Deportes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Deportes VS FC Cajamarca
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario de Deportes

(Home)
25 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 1
Cusco
18 Jul
AD Tarma
1 : 2
Universitario de Deportes
11 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 0
Millonarios
26 Jun
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Jun
Pirata
2 : 0
Universitario de Deportes
Page 1 of 7

FC Cajamarca

(Away)
17 Jul
FC Cajamarca
2 : 2
Juan Pablo II
26 Jun
Cajamarca
3 : 1
FC Cajamarca
20 Jun
FC Cajamarca
1 : 1
Llacuabamba
31 May
FC Cajamarca
1 : 1
A. Lima
24 May
Alianza Atl.
1 : 1
FC Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)