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Universitario de Deportes vs Juan Pablo II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Monumental, Lima
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Universitario de Deportes host Juan Pablo II in the Liga 1. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Juan Pablo II have shipped 1.72 goals a game lately, while Universitario de Deportes have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.42. Head-to-head, Universitario de Deportes have won 2 to Juan Pablo II's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:4. xG projections (1.56 - 1.88) back Universitario de Deportes to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Universitario de Deportes
35%
Draws
38%
Juan Pablo II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juan Pablo II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Universitario de Deportes have won more games recently than Juan Pablo II.
  • Win probability leans Juan Pablo II's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 10%
Juan Pablo II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Deportes Juan Pablo II
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.42 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Universitario de Deportes
1:4
Oct 5, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Juan Pablo II
3:0
Sep 18, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Juan Pablo II
0:0
May 18, 2025 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Universitario de Deportes
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Deportes 18 / 100
Juan Pablo II 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Deportes Juan Pablo II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juan Pablo II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Juan Pablo II conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Universitario de Deportes found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Universitario de Deportes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Deportes VS Juan Pablo II
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario de Deportes

(Home)
11 Oct
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2
FBC Melgar
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0
Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2
Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2
Comerciantes Unidos
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4
Universitario de Deportes
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Juan Pablo II

(Away)
10 Oct
Comerciantes Unidos
1 : 1
Juan Pablo II
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2
Juan Pablo II
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1
A. Lima
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4
Juan Pablo II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 11 7 1 3 21:10 22
2 Deportivo Garcilaso 11 7 1 3 18:7 22
3 Alianza Atl. 11 7 1 3 23:18 22
4 Sport Huancayo 11 7 1 3 17:13 22
5 Universitario de Deportes 11 6 3 2 21:18 21
6 Juan Pablo II 11 5 4 2 21:13 19
7 FBC Melgar 11 5 4 2 18:11 19
8 A. Lima 11 5 4 2 16:11 19
9 Sport Boys 11 5 3 3 15:10 18
10 Cusco 11 6 0 5 20:16 18
11 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Comerciantes Unidos 11 2 4 5 18:19 10
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 11 1 3 7 7:21 6
18 Cajamarca 11 0 2 9 11:25 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)