Sport Picks
Universitario de Deportes vs Moquegua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Monumental, Lima 
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between Universitario de Deportes and Moquegua finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Universitario de Deportes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Universitario de Deportes come out ahead of Moquegua on wins alone.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Universitario de Deportes taking it.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 68%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Universitario de Deportes | Moquegua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 0.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Liga 1
Moquegua vs Universitario de Deportes
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Universitario de Deportes 95 / 100
Moquegua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Universitario de Deportes Moquegua
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Universitario de Deportes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Universitario de Deportes went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Universitario de Deportes's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Moquegua has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Away concern: Moquegua has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Universitario de Deportes VS Moquegua
2.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Universitario de Deportes
(Home) 05 Nov
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Sport Boys
01 Nov
Atletico Grau
1 : 3 Universitario de Deportes
25 Oct
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0 Juan Pablo II
18 Oct
Alianza Atl.
1 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
11 Oct
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 FBC Melgar
Page 1 of 7
05 Nov
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Sport Boys
25 Oct
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0 Juan Pablo II
11 Oct
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 FBC Melgar
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0 Los Chankas
Page 1 of 4
Moquegua
(Away) 01 Nov
Moquegua
0 : 0 Los Chankas
28 Oct
AD Tarma
2 : 0 Moquegua
25 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 1 A. Lima
18 Oct
FC Cajamarca
0 : 1 Moquegua
08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2 Cienciano
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28 Oct
AD Tarma
2 : 0 Moquegua
18 Oct
FC Cajamarca
0 : 1 Moquegua
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0 Moquegua
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0 Moquegua
27 Aug
AD Tarma
2 : 0 Moquegua
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 27:18 | 34 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:18 | 32 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 33:22 | 31 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 29 |
| 5 | A. Lima | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 7 | Alianza Atl. | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 29:30 | 28 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 26 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 26:27 | 15 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 23:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:31 | 14 |
| 16 | AD Tarma | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17:32 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
