Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Monumental, Lima
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Universitario de Deportes host Sporting Cristal in the Liga 1. This one's hard to separate. Universitario de Deportes have averaged 1.13 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Sporting Cristal's 1.25 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Universitario de Deportes slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.06 - 1.00) back Universitario de Deportes to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Universitario de Deportes
17%
Draws
13%
Sporting Cristal
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Universitario de Deportes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Sporting Cristal have won more games recently than Universitario de Deportes.
  • Model gives Universitario de Deportes a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Deportes Sporting Cristal
Matches Played 33 37
Wins 14 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Universitario de Deportes
2:2
Oct 24, 2025 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Universitario de Deportes
0:1
May 23, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal
2:0
Oct 24, 2024 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Universitario de Deportes
2:1
May 12, 2024 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Deportes 67 / 100
Sporting Cristal 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Deportes Sporting Cristal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Universitario de Deportes scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Sporting Cristal has conceded goals in 76% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Universitario de Deportes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Deportes VS Sporting Cristal
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario de Deportes

(Home)
25 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 1
Cusco
18 Jul
AD Tarma
1 : 2
Universitario de Deportes
11 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 0
Millonarios
26 Jun
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Jun
Pirata
2 : 0
Universitario de Deportes
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Sporting Cristal

(Away)
30 Jul
Bragantino
1 : 0
Sporting Cristal
26 Jul
FBC Melgar
2 : 1
Sporting Cristal
23 Jul
Sporting Cristal
0 : 0
Bragantino
17 Jul
Sporting Cristal
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
11 Jul
Sporting Cristal
2 : 1
Tacna Heroica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FBC Melgar 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Universitario de Deportes 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
3 Los Chankas 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
4 Juan Pablo II 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
5 A. Lima 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
6 Cusco 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
7 Sport Huancayo 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 Sport Boys 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
9 Atletico Grau 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Sporting Cristal 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
11 Deportivo Garcilaso 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
12 Alianza Atl. 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
13 Moquegua 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
14 Comerciantes Unidos 3 0 2 1 6:7 2
15 FC Cajamarca 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
16 Cajamarca 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
17 AD Tarma 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
18 Cienciano 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)