Sport Picks
Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Monumental, Lima 
Match Events
16'
16'
Fara C.
30'
30'
Yotun Y.
46'
46'
Sub
Gonzalez J. In: Sosa L.
Out: Gonzalez J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cristal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sporting Cristal have won more games recently than Universitario de Deportes.
- Model gives Sporting Cristal a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Universitario de Deportes | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Universitario de Deportes
2:2
Oct 24, 2025 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Universitario de Deportes
0:1
May 23, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal
2:0
Oct 24, 2024 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Universitario de Deportes
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Universitario de Deportes Compare
Top Goalscorer Lapadula G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Sporting Cristal Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Universitario de Deportes 10 / 100
Sporting Cristal 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Universitario de Deportes Sporting Cristal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting Cristal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Universitario de Deportes scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.
Sporting Cristal has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Universitario de Deportes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Universitario de Deportes VS Sporting Cristal
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Universitario de Deportes
(Home) 19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0 Los Chankas
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0 Los Chankas
08 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1 Sporting Cristal
25 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 1 Cusco
11 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 0 Millonarios
Page 1 of 3
Sporting Cristal
(Away) 01 Oct
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 AD Tarma
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1 Sporting Cristal
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1 Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2 Sporting Cristal
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 Los Chankas
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1 Sporting Cristal
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2 Sporting Cristal
30 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Sporting Cristal
21 Aug
Alianza Atl.
3 : 1 Sporting Cristal
08 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1 Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:24 | 11 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
