Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Universitario de Deportes W vs FBC Melgar W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga Women 2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women 2026 game between Universitario de Deportes W and FBC Melgar W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Universitario de Deportes W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Universitario de Deportes W
15%
Draws
42%
FBC Melgar W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Universitario de Deportes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Universitario de Deportes W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Universitario de Deportes W a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Women 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Universitario de Deportes W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Universitario de Deportes W Clean Sheet 10%
FBC Melgar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Deportes W FBC Melgar W
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 25 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 4.03 1.8
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs FBC Melgar W
2:0
May 2, 2026 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Universitario de Deportes W
0:3
Sep 27, 2025 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Universitario de Deportes W
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs FBC Melgar W
4:0
Jun 11, 2025 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Universitario de Deportes W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Deportes W 65 / 100
FBC Melgar W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Deportes W FBC Melgar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Universitario de Deportes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universitario de Deportes W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

FBC Melgar W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Universitario de Deportes W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Deportes W VS FBC Melgar W
4.88 Goals Scored 3.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario de Deportes W

(Home)
26 Sept
UNSAAC W
2 : 5
Universitario de Deportes W
19 Sept
Universitario de Deportes W
4 : 0
Killas W
13 Sept
Universitario de Deportes W
5 : 0
Flamengo FBC W
05 Sept
Yanapuma W
3 : 9
Universitario de Deportes W
30 Aug
Universitario de Deportes W
2 : 3
A. Lima W
Page 1 of 8

FBC Melgar W

(Away)
27 Sept
A. Lima W
1 : 0
FBC Melgar W
18 Sept
FBC Melgar W
2 : 1
Carlos Mannucci W
11 Sept
Atl. Andahuaylas W
1 : 5
FBC Melgar W
04 Sept
FBC Melgar W
1 : 0
Killas W
30 Aug
UNSAAC W
1 : 3
FBC Melgar W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A. Lima W 10 10 0 0 33:2 30
2 Universitario de Deportes W 10 8 1 1 48:9 25
3 FBC Melgar W 10 7 0 3 28:10 21
4 Sporting Cristal W 10 7 0 3 24:10 21
5 Atl. Andahuaylas W 10 5 2 3 14:12 17
6 Carlos Mannucci W 10 4 1 5 15:30 13
7 Killas W 10 4 0 6 8:20 12
8 Flamengo FBC W 10 2 1 7 8:20 7
9 Yanapuma W 10 2 0 8 14:36 6
10 Defensores W 10 2 0 8 8:39 6
11 UNSAAC W 10 1 1 8 10:22 4
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)