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Universitario de Deportes W vs Sporting Cristal W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga Women 2026
Universitario de Deportes W Logo

Universitario de Deportes W

3 - 1
FT
Sporting Cristal W Logo

Sporting Cristal W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Universitario de Deportes W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Universitario de Deportes W
15%
Draws
36%
Sporting Cristal W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Universitario de Deportes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Universitario de Deportes W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Universitario de Deportes W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Universitario de Deportes W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Universitario de Deportes W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Universitario de Deportes W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Universitario de Deportes W Clean Sheet 11%
Sporting Cristal W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Deportes W Sporting Cristal W
Matches Played 36 34
Wins 25 21
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 4.03 2.65
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs Universitario de Deportes W
1:3
Jul 18, 2026 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs Sporting Cristal W
3:1
Jul 12, 2026 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs Universitario de Deportes W
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs Sporting Cristal W
3:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs Sporting Cristal W
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Deportes W 83 / 100
Sporting Cristal W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Deportes W Sporting Cristal W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Universitario de Deportes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universitario de Deportes W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (36 games).

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Universitario de Deportes W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sporting Cristal W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Deportes W VS Sporting Cristal W
4.88 Goals Scored 2.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario de Deportes W

(Home)
26 Sept
UNSAAC W
2 : 5
Universitario de Deportes W
19 Sept
Universitario de Deportes W
4 : 0
Killas W
13 Sept
Universitario de Deportes W
5 : 0
Flamengo FBC W
05 Sept
Yanapuma W
3 : 9
Universitario de Deportes W
30 Aug
Universitario de Deportes W
2 : 3
A. Lima W
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Sporting Cristal W

(Away)
20 Sept
Sporting Cristal W
0 : 2
A. Lima W
13 Sept
Carlos Mannucci W
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal W
05 Sept
Sporting Cristal W
3 : 0
UNSAAC W
29 Aug
Killas W
0 : 4
Sporting Cristal W
22 Aug
Sporting Cristal W
0 : 2
Atl. Andahuaylas W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Universitario de Deportes W -
TBD -
A. Lima W 4
Yanapuma W 1
Atl. Andahuaylas W -
TBD -
Sporting Cristal W 8
FBC Melgar W 1
Semi-finals
Universitario de Deportes W 3
A. Lima W 1
Atl. Andahuaylas W 3
Sporting Cristal W 6
Final
Universitario de Deportes W 5
Sporting Cristal W 3