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Universitario de Deportes W vs Sporting Cristal W

Peru Peru

Liga Women 2026
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Universitario de Deportes W host Sporting Cristal W in the Liga Women 2026. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Sporting Cristal W have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Universitario de Deportes W have conceded 0.5 and scored 4. Head-to-head, Universitario de Deportes W have won 3 to Sporting Cristal W's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (2.44 - 2.13) back Universitario de Deportes W to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Universitario de Deportes W
20%
Draws
38%
Sporting Cristal W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Universitario de Deportes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Universitario de Deportes W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sporting Cristal W.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Universitario de Deportes W.
  • Cup tournament structure in Liga Women 2026 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Universitario de Deportes W Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Cristal W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Deportes W Sporting Cristal W
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 18 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 4 3.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs Sporting Cristal W
3:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs Sporting Cristal W
6:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs Universitario de Deportes W
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs Sporting Cristal W
2:0
May 21, 2025 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs Universitario de Deportes W
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Deportes W 40 / 100
Sporting Cristal W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Deportes W Sporting Cristal W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universitario de Deportes W scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Sporting Cristal W let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Universitario de Deportes W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Cristal W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Deportes W VS Sporting Cristal W
4 Goals Scored 3.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Universitario de Deportes W-
TBD-
A. Lima W4
Yanapuma W1
Atl. Andahuaylas W-
TBD-
Sporting Cristal W8
FBC Melgar W1
Semi-finals
Universitario de Deportes W3
A. Lima W1
Atl. Andahuaylas W3
Sporting Cristal W6
Final
Universitario de Deportes W-
Sporting Cristal W-