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Universitario de Sucre vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

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Copa Simon Bolivar Estadio Olímpico Patria
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AI Match Summary

The Copa Simon Bolivar game between Universitario de Sucre and Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Universitario de Sucre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Universitario de Sucre
40%
Draws
29%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz come out ahead of Universitario de Sucre on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Universitario de Sucre Clean Sheet 12%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Sucre Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 20
Draws 2 2
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 4.13 2.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 4.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Sucre vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
3:0
Nov 2, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Universitario de Sucre
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Sucre 30 / 100
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Sucre Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Universitario de Sucre scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Universitario de Sucre remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Sucre VS Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
4.13 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Deportivo Shalon3
San Juan FC6
Nueva Cliza6
Municipal de Tarija1
Fancesa2
Universitario de Sucre7
Olympic FC1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
CD Guadalajara2
Real Potosi4
Pucarani1
Rio San Juan2
CD Ingenio4
Tiquipaya7
Torre Fuerte3
1 de Mayo4
Quarter-finals
San Juan FC4
Nueva Cliza1
Universitario de Sucre4
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
Real Potosi2
Rio San Juan0
Tiquipaya1
1 de Mayo2
Semi-finals
San Juan FC6
Universitario de Sucre3
Real Potosi3
1 de Mayo2
Final
San Juan FC1
Real Potosi5