Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Universitario de Sucre vs Fatic

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2024 Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Nacional B 2024 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Universitario de Sucre
6%
Draws
4%
Fatic
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Universitario de Sucre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fatic haven't matched Universitario de Sucre's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Universitario de Sucre a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Universitario de Sucre have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Universitario de Sucre Clean Sheet 68%
Fatic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Sucre Fatic
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 2 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.88 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Sucre vs Fatic
2:2
Oct 5, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Universitario de Sucre
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Sucre 95 / 100
Fatic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Sucre Fatic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universitario de Sucre's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Fatic has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Fatic has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Sucre VS Fatic
2.88 Goals Scored 1.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.33
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario de Sucre

(Home)
23 Nov
Universitario de Sucre
2 : 3
San Juan FC
16 Nov
San Juan FC
3 : 1
Universitario de Sucre
09 Nov
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 0
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
02 Nov
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
3 : 1
Universitario de Sucre
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
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Fatic

(Away)
02 Nov
Universitario de Sucre
2 : 2
Fatic
05 Oct
Fatic
0 : 4
Universitario de Sucre
22 Sept
Fatic
2 : 1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
15 Sept
Real Potosi
1 : 0
Fatic
08 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
1 : 0
Fatic
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Real Oruro2
Tiquipaya1
3 de Febrero2
CDN Santa Cruz7
Petrolero de Yacuiba10
Amanecer1
Fatic2
Universitario de Sucre6
Stormers SC1
Academia del Balompie12
Wilstermann Cooperativas3
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz4
Deportivo Aleman1
Oruro Royal8
Real Potosi3
Alianza Beni4
Quarter-finals
Real Oruro4
CDN Santa Cruz2
Petrolero de Yacuiba5
Universitario de Sucre6
Academia del Balompie4
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz2
Oruro Royal3
Alianza Beni6
Semi-finals
Real Oruro4
Universitario de Sucre3
Academia del Balompie9
Alianza Beni3
Final
Real Oruro2
Academia del Balompie3