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Universitario de Sucre vs Fatic Prediction & H2H Stats

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2024 Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Nacional B 2024 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Universitario de Sucre
20%
Draws
51%
Fatic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fatic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Fatic haven't matched Universitario de Sucre's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fatic a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Universitario de Sucre have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Universitario de Sucre Clean Sheet 10%
Fatic Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Sucre Fatic
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.83 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.15 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Sucre vs Fatic
2:2
Oct 5, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Universitario de Sucre
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Sucre 22 / 100
Fatic 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Sucre Fatic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universitario de Sucre's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Fatic conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Universitario de Sucre remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Sucre VS Fatic
3.13 Goals Scored 2.17
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.17
100% Over 1.5 83%
100% Over 2.5 67%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario de Sucre

(Home)
27 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 0
Universitario de Tarija
20 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
0 : 4
Deportivo Tigres
13 Sept
San Juan FC
2 : 0
Universitario de Sucre
04 Sept
Deportivo Tigres
1 : 1
Universitario de Sucre
30 Aug
Universitario de Sucre
1 : 1
San Juan FC
Page 1 of 6

Fatic

(Away)
27 Sept
Em Huanuni
2 : 0
Fatic
19 Sept
Fatic
3 : 1
Atletico Sucre
12 Sept
Fatic
6 : 0
Libertad FC
05 Sept
Atletico Sucre
2 : 1
Fatic
30 Aug
Libertad FC
0 : 1
Fatic
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Real Oruro 2
Tiquipaya 1
3 de Febrero 2
CDN Santa Cruz 7
Petrolero de Yacuiba 10
Amanecer 1
Fatic 2
Universitario de Sucre 6
Stormers SC 1
Academia del Balompie 12
Wilstermann Cooperativas 3
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 4
Deportivo Aleman 1
Oruro Royal 8
Real Potosi 3
Alianza Beni 4
Quarter-finals
Real Oruro 4
CDN Santa Cruz 2
Petrolero de Yacuiba 5
Universitario de Sucre 6
Academia del Balompie 4
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 2
Oruro Royal 3
Alianza Beni 6
Semi-finals
Real Oruro 4
Universitario de Sucre 3
Academia del Balompie 9
Alianza Beni 3
Final
Real Oruro 2
Academia del Balompie 3