Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Universitario de Tarija vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz in this Nacional B 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Universitario de Tarija
6%
Draws
90%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz lately — more wins on the board than Universitario de Tarija.
  • Win probability leans Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Universitario de Tarija Clean Sheet 11%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Tarija Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 10 20
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Tarija vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
0:3
Sep 1, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Universitario de Tarija
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Tarija 10 / 100
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Tarija Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Universitario de Tarija scored in 77% of their last 22 outings.

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Universitario de Tarija remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Tarija VS Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CDN Santa Cruz641113:613
2Petrolero de Yacuiba63219:311
3Stormers SC62136:147
4Millonarios61056:113
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Sucre650122:715
2Amanecer632115:911
3Ciclon61238:145
4El Tejar60249:242
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Beni641112:513
2Tiquipaya641110:313
3Deportivo Aleman62135:67
4Moto Club60157:201
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz640211:512
2Real Potosi632113:911
3Fatic62139:107
4Universitario de Tarija61149:184
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oruro Royal640215:1612
2Real Oruro632113:711
3Destroyers61329:86
4Rio San Juan60338:143
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academia del Balompie632119:1111
23 de Febrero631214:1010
3Wilstermann Cooperativas61508:78
4Vaca Diez60243:162