Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Universitario Salto vs Sud America

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay 2022
Wed, Jul 27, 2022
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Posse F.
60' Event
Anasco M.
73' Event
Lemos P.

AI Match Summary

Universitario Salto host Sud America in the Copa Uruguay 2022. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sud America have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Universitario Salto have conceded 1.33 and scored 3.33. Head-to-head, Universitario Salto have won 0 to Sud America's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 27, 2022, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.04 vs 1.10, favoring Universitario Salto. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Universitario Salto
6%
Draws
4%
Sud America
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Universitario Salto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sud America lately — more wins on the board than Universitario Salto.
  • Universitario Salto are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Uruguay 2022 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Universitario Salto Clean Sheet 20%
Sud America Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario Salto Sud America
Matches Played 7 31
Wins 4 7
Draws 0 10
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 3.33 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.33 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2022 Copa Uruguay
Universitario Salto vs Sud America
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Universitario Salto Compare

Top Goalscorer Piriz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Llama D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.56
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sud America Compare

Top Goalscorer Posse F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anasco M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario Salto 85 / 100
Sud America 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario Salto Sud America

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universitario Salto scored in 100% of their last 6 games.

Defensive concern: Sud America conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Sud America's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Universitario Salto VS Sud America
3.33 Goals Scored 0.88
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 13%
67% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Lavalleja (Minas)1
Atenas2
Mar De Fondo4
Huracan FC0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cerrito-
Club Atletico Basanez0
Uruguay Montevideo FC4
Palermo de Rocha3
Piriapolis2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Montevideo City-
Rocha2
Paso de la Arena0
Lavalleja de Rocha1
Huracan Buceo2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rentistas-
Progreso-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Danubio-
Canadian Soccer Club0
Racing Montevideo1
Salto FC0
Huracan Paysandu1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Defensor Sp.-
Juventud Colonia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
River Plate Montevideo-
Tacuarembo1
Central Esp.3
Wanderers Juvenil1
Club Atletico Artigas2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Liverpool M.-
Universitario Salto-
Sud America-
Paysandu FC1
Paysandu Bella Vista0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wanderers-
Durazno3
CA Cerro2
Porongos0
Boquita3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Plaza Colonia-
Quilmes-
Villa Espanola-
Deportivo Colonia3
Santa Emilia1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cerro Largo-
Laureles0
Colon2
Los Halcones1
Sportivo Barracas0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Penarol-
Central San Jose-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Boston River-
Bella Vista0
Rampla Juniors1
Rio Negro3
Wanderers Santa Lucia1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maldonado-
Miramar-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Club Nacional-
CA Alto Peru0
Juventud4
Parque Del Plata1
Universal San Jose3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Albion-
Potencia0
La Luz7
Atletico Juanico1
Deportivo Italiano2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fenix-
1/32-finals
Atenas0
Mar De Fondo1
TBD-
Cerrito-
Uruguay Montevideo FC2
Palermo de Rocha1
TBD-
Montevideo City-
Rocha2
Huracan Buceo1
TBD-
Rentistas-
Progreso-
TBD-
TBD-
Danubio-
Racing Montevideo1
Huracan Paysandu0
TBD-
Defensor Sp.-
Juventud Colonia-
TBD-
TBD-
River Plate Montevideo-
Central Esp.2
Club Atletico Artigas1
TBD-
Liverpool M.-
Universitario Salto1
Paysandu FC0
TBD-
Wanderers-
Durazno2
Boquita1
TBD-
Plaza Colonia-
Quilmes1
Deportivo Colonia2
TBD-
Cerro Largo-
Colon3
Los Halcones1
TBD-
Penarol-
Central San Jose-
TBD-
TBD-
Boston River-
Rampla Juniors2
Rio Negro1
TBD-
Maldonado-
Miramar-
TBD-
TBD-
Club Nacional-
Juventud1
Universal San Jose0
TBD-
Albion-
La Luz2
Deportivo Italiano1
TBD-
Fenix-
1/16-finals
Mar De Fondo0
Cerrito1
Uruguay Montevideo FC2
Montevideo City4
Rocha0
Rentistas3
Progreso3
Danubio2
Racing Montevideo0
Defensor Sp.1
Juventud Colonia1
River Plate Montevideo2
Central Esp.1
Liverpool M.2
Universitario Salto1
Wanderers3
Durazno1
Plaza Colonia3
Deportivo Colonia0
Cerro Largo2
Colon0
Penarol2
Central San Jose0
Boston River2
Rampla Juniors2
Maldonado1
Miramar0
Club Nacional1
Juventud0
Albion1
La Luz2
Fenix1
1/8-finals
Cerrito0
Montevideo City1
Rentistas0
Progreso3
Defensor Sp.2
River Plate Montevideo0
Liverpool M.4
Wanderers0
Plaza Colonia1
Cerro Largo0
Penarol1
Boston River0
Rampla Juniors3
Club Nacional0
Albion2
La Luz3
Quarter-finals
Montevideo City1
Progreso2
Defensor Sp.3
Liverpool M.0
Plaza Colonia0
Penarol1
Rampla Juniors2
La Luz3
Semi-finals
Progreso2
Defensor Sp.4
Penarol1
La Luz2
Final
Defensor Sp.1
La Luz0