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University College Cork vs Killarney Celtic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

National League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

University College Cork host Killarney Celtic in the National League. University College Cork are expected to control this from the start. Killarney Celtic have shipped 2.57 goals a game lately, while University College Cork have conceded 2.57 and scored 1.19. Past meetings favor University College Cork slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.45 xG vs 2.13) point toward University College Cork. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
University College Cork
20%
Draws
10%
Killarney Celtic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: University College Cork

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and University College Cork come out ahead of Killarney Celtic on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans University College Cork's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
University College Cork Clean Sheet 10%
Killarney Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric University College Cork Killarney Celtic
Matches Played 21 7
Wins 6 1
Draws 2 1
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.19 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.57 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.45 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National League
Killarney Celtic vs University College Cork
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

University College Cork 74 / 100
Killarney Celtic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
University College Cork Killarney Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick University College Cork Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Killarney Celtic has conceded goals in 86% of their last 7 outings.

Attacking prowess: University College Cork scored in 62% of their last 21 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: University College Cork stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

University College Cork VS Killarney Celtic
0.75 Goals Scored 1.14
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.14
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

University College Cork

(Home)
03 Oct
Newbridge Town
1 : 3
University College Cork
26 Sept
University College Cork
1 : 1
CK United FC
12 Sept
Villa FC
3 : 2
University College Cork
05 Sept
Killarney Celtic
1 : 2
University College Cork
17 May
Lucan Utd
5 : 2
University College Cork
Page 1 of 5

Killarney Celtic

(Away)
03 Oct
CK United FC
3 : 1
Killarney Celtic
19 Sept
Newbridge Town
2 : 2
Killarney Celtic
12 Sept
Killarney Celtic
2 : 3
CK United FC
05 Sept
Killarney Celtic
1 : 2
University College Cork
06 Jan
Killarney Celtic
2 : 5
Kerry
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 5 3 2 0 16:5 11
2 Mervue United 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
3 Lucan Utd 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 Bonagee 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
5 Cockhill 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salthill 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
2 Letterkenny Rovers 5 2 1 2 12:10 7
3 TU Dublin 5 1 3 1 10:12 6
4 Mayo FC 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
5 St Francis 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa FC 5 4 1 0 20:6 13
2 CK United FC 6 3 2 1 12:12 11
3 University College Cork 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Killarney Celtic 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
5 Newbridge Town 5 0 1 4 5:17 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams