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University of Macau vs Benfica

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Dias R.
78' Event
Tian Yu Xuan

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2025 game between University of Macau and Benfica finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward University of Macau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
University of Macau
6%
Draws
90%
Benfica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Benfica come out ahead of University of Macau on wins alone.
  • Model gives Benfica a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
University of Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric University of Macau Benfica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0.63 2.75
Goals Conceded 4.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Elite League
Benfica vs University of Macau
10:0
Apr 19, 2026 Elite League
University of Macau vs Benfica
0:6
Aug 2, 2025 Elite League
Benfica vs University of Macau
4:1
Jun 15, 2025 Elite League
University of Macau vs Benfica
1:0
Feb 19, 2025 Elite League
Benfica vs University of Macau
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

University of Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Tian Yu Xuan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Benfica Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

University of Macau 10 / 100
Benfica 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
University of Macau Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Benfica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Benfica registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: University of Macau scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

University of Macau VS Benfica
0.63 Goals Scored 2.75
4.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

University of Macau

(Home)
25 Jul
Cheng Fung
2 : 2
University of Macau
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
12 Jul
Artilheiros
3 : 2
University of Macau
05 Jul
University of Macau
1 : 7
Hang Sai
28 Jun
G. Universe
5 : 3
University of Macau
Page 1 of 6

Benfica

(Away)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO17142178:1044
2Shao Jiang17141264:1343
3University of Macau1782733:3226
4Benfica1781831:2825
5Cheng Fung1755722:4220
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)