Sport Picks
University of Tasmania vs Hobart City
Australia
Tasmania Southern Championship 
AI Match Summary
Hobart City in this Tasmania Southern Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hobart City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hobart City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- University of Tasmania haven't matched Hobart City's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Hobart City taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Southern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Hobart City have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
University of Tasmania Clean Sheet 10%
Hobart City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | University of Tasmania | Hobart City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 36 |
| Wins | 9 | 18 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 24 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 4, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart City vs University of Tasmania
5:2
Apr 11, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
University of Tasmania vs Hobart City
3:4
Jun 14, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
University of Tasmania vs Hobart City
2:4
Mar 15, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart City vs University of Tasmania
4:2
Aug 29, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
University of Tasmania vs Hobart City
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
University of Tasmania 10 / 100
Hobart City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
University of Tasmania Hobart City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HOB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Hobart City conceded in 86% of 36 recent games.
These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.
University of Tasmania scored in 76% of their last 34 games.
University of Tasmania has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
University of Tasmania VS Hobart City
2 Goals Scored 2.38
3.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
University of Tasmania
(Home) 18 Jul
South Hobart U21
5 : 0 University of Tasmania
04 Jul
Hobart City
5 : 2 University of Tasmania
26 Jun
Olympia Warriors
4 : 2 University of Tasmania
21 Jun
Clarence Zebras U21
1 : 4 University of Tasmania
13 Jun
Hobart United
2 : 3 University of Tasmania
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30 May
University of Tasmania
1 : 1 New Town Eagles
09 May
University of Tasmania
1 : 2 Glenorchy Knights U21
02 May
University of Tasmania
3 : 6 South Hobart U21
11 Apr
University of Tasmania
3 : 4 Hobart City
28 Mar
University of Tasmania
3 : 5 Olympia Warriors
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Hobart City
(Away) 18 Jul
Hobart City
4 : 0 Clarence Zebras U21
11 Jul
Hobart United
2 : 4 Hobart City
04 Jul
Hobart City
5 : 2 University of Tasmania
27 Jun
Hobart City
2 : 2 New Town Eagles
20 Jun
Hobart City
2 : 2 Taroona
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11 Jul
Hobart United
2 : 4 Hobart City
02 May
Clarence Zebras U21
3 : 1 Hobart City
11 Apr
University of Tasmania
3 : 4 Hobart City
28 Mar
New Town Eagles
1 : 1 Hobart City
21 Mar
Taroona
3 : 0 Hobart City
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart U21 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 67:20 | 31 |
| 2 | Olympia Warriors | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 39:23 | 28 |
| 3 | Hobart City | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 39:24 | 28 |
| 4 | New Town Eagles | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 48:17 | 26 |
| 5 | Taroona | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 47:21 | 24 |
| 6 | Clarence Zebras U21 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 36:36 | 22 |
| 7 | Hobart United | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 27:65 | 11 |
| 8 | University of Tasmania | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 27:53 | 10 |
| 9 | Glenorchy Knights U21 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 31:58 | 8 |
| 10 | South East United U21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:50 | 0 |
Promotion - NPL Tasmania 2027 (Main)