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University of Tasmania vs Nelson Eastern Suburbs

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

University of Tasmania play Nelson Eastern Suburbs in the Tasmania Southern Championship 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, University of Tasmania averaged 1 goals scored and 4 conceded. Nelson Eastern Suburbs averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, University of Tasmania won 2, Nelson Eastern Suburbs won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 24, 2019 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for University of Tasmania and 2.50 for Nelson Eastern Suburbs. This points to a University of Tasmania double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
University of Tasmania
33%
Draws
40%
Nelson Eastern Suburbs
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nelson Eastern Suburbs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • University of Tasmania has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nelson Eastern Suburbs.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Nelson Eastern Suburbs.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tasmania Southern Championship 2019 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
University of Tasmania Clean Sheet 10%
Nelson Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric University of Tasmania Nelson Eastern Suburbs
Matches Played 36 21
Wins 9 3
Draws 2 4
Losses 25 14
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 4 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2019 Tasmania Southern Championship
Nelson Eastern Suburbs vs University of Tasmania
1:2
Jul 6, 2019 Tasmania Southern Championship
University of Tasmania vs Nelson Eastern Suburbs
3:1
May 18, 2019 Tasmania Southern Championship
Nelson Eastern Suburbs vs University of Tasmania
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

University of Tasmania 26 / 100
Nelson Eastern Suburbs 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
University of Tasmania Nelson Eastern Suburbs

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

University of Tasmania scored in 75% of their last 36 games.

Nelson Eastern Suburbs let in goals in 86% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

University of Tasmania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nelson Eastern Suburbs lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

University of Tasmania VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
4 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%