Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNSW vs Manly Utd

Australia Australia

NPL NSW The Village Green, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
79' Event

AI Match Summary

Manly Utd in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manly Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
UNSW
20%
Draws
73%
Manly Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manly Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Manly Utd lately — more wins on the board than UNSW.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Manly Utd taking it.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
UNSW Clean Sheet 10%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNSW Manly Utd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NPL NSW
UNSW vs Manly Utd
0:2
May 8, 2026 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs UNSW
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNSW 10 / 100
Manly Utd 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNSW Manly Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manly Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UNSW scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Manly Utd has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: UNSW remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UNSW VS Manly Utd
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

UNSW

(Home)
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2
Manly Utd
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0
UNSW
08 Aug
UNSW
1 : 3
Sydney Olympic
01 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1
UNSW
25 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 1
UNSW
Page 1 of 6

Manly Utd

(Away)
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2
Manly Utd
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4
NWS Spirit
08 Aug
Manly Utd
3 : 1
Marconi Stallions
02 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1
Manly Utd
24 Jul
Manly Utd
4 : 0
Sydney Olympic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 29 20 5 4 62:33 65
2 Marconi Stallions 29 19 4 6 49:21 61
3 Sydney Utd 29 19 4 6 41:20 61
4 Sutherland Sharks 29 14 4 11 45:36 46
5 Manly Utd 29 11 8 10 35:35 41
6 NWS Spirit 29 12 4 13 36:37 40
7 Sydney FC U23 29 11 7 11 37:42 40
8 Wollongong 29 11 5 13 35:39 38
9 SD Raiders 29 11 5 13 42:48 38
10 Rockdale Ilinden 29 11 4 14 44:44 37
11 St. George City 29 10 7 12 28:42 37
12 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 29 10 5 14 52:48 35
13 Blacktown City 29 9 8 12 42:43 35
14 UNSW 29 9 5 15 38:47 32
15 St George Saints 29 8 3 18 28:49 27
16 Sydney Olympic 29 6 4 19 31:61 22
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)