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UNSW vs Sutherland Sharks

Australia Australia

NPL NSW The Village Green, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Shoueiki R.
45' Event
Wood L.
86' Event
Perez J.

AI Match Summary

Sutherland Sharks in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sutherland Sharks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
UNSW
20%
Draws
64%
Sutherland Sharks
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sutherland Sharks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • UNSW haven't matched Sutherland Sharks's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sutherland Sharks's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
UNSW Clean Sheet 11%
Sutherland Sharks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNSW Sutherland Sharks
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 NPL NSW
UNSW vs Sutherland Sharks
1:3
Mar 14, 2026 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs UNSW
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNSW Compare

Top Goalscorer Wood L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sutherland Sharks Compare

Top Goalscorer Shoueiki R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNSW 10 / 100
Sutherland Sharks 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNSW Sutherland Sharks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sutherland Sharks Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutherland Sharks let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

UNSW found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Sutherland Sharks's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UNSW VS Sutherland Sharks
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UNSW

(Home)
30 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
2 : 0
UNSW
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2
Manly Utd
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0
UNSW
08 Aug
UNSW
1 : 3
Sydney Olympic
01 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1
UNSW
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Sutherland Sharks

(Away)
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1
St. George City
16 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0
Sutherland Sharks
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1
Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)