Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Unterhaching vs Burghausen

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 Uhlsport Park, Unterhaching
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Stiefler M.
51' Event
Skarlatidis S.
72' Event
Pfeiffer C.

AI Match Summary

Unterhaching in this Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Unterhaching.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Unterhaching
30%
Draws
37%
Burghausen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burghausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Unterhaching have won more games recently than Burghausen.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Unterhaching Clean Sheet 10%
Burghausen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unterhaching Burghausen
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.73 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Unterhaching vs Burghausen
4:0
Nov 7, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs Unterhaching
1:3
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Burghausen vs Unterhaching
1:1
Mar 7, 2023 Regionalliga Bayern
Unterhaching vs Burghausen
0:1
Aug 6, 2022 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs Unterhaching
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unterhaching Compare

Top Goalscorer Stiefler M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skarlatidis S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Burghausen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unterhaching 30 / 100
Burghausen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unterhaching Burghausen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unterhaching scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Burghausen conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Unterhaching went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unterhaching VS Burghausen
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Unterhaching

(Home)
14 Aug
Illertissen
3 : 0
Unterhaching
08 Aug
Unterhaching
0 : 0
Eltersdorf
31 Jul
Nurnberg II
1 : 2
Unterhaching
25 Jul
Unterhaching
1 : 0
Furth II
15 Jul
Chemnitzer
3 : 0
Unterhaching
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Burghausen

(Away)
14 Aug
Burghausen
1 : 2
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
07 Aug
TSV Aubstadt
2 : 2
Burghausen
31 Jul
Burghausen
2 : 0
Bayern II
24 Jul
Ansbach
0 : 4
Burghausen
17 Jul
Burghausen
1 : 1
Augsburg II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nurnberg II 34 24 5 5 68:35 77
2 Wurzburger Kickers 34 22 9 3 74:25 75
3 Unterhaching 34 22 4 8 72:30 70
4 Illertissen 34 19 7 8 72:46 64
5 Vilzing 34 15 6 13 49:44 51
6 TSV Aubstadt 34 13 10 11 49:45 49
7 Vfb Eichstatt 34 12 12 10 48:37 48
8 Burghausen 34 13 8 13 46:50 47
9 Ansbach 34 13 7 14 54:65 46
10 Buchbach 34 13 7 14 54:69 46
11 Bayern II 34 14 6 14 61:52 45
12 Memmingen 34 10 12 12 43:47 42
13 Bayreuth 34 9 11 14 36:53 38
14 Augsburg II 34 9 7 18 37:48 34
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 34 9 7 18 39:60 34
16 Furth II 34 6 10 18 47:60 28
17 Aschaffenburg 34 6 8 20 31:71 26
18 Hankofen-Hailing 34 5 8 21 31:74 23
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)