Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UP Country Lions vs Defenders FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Jude N.
77' Event
York B.
90' Event
Aadhif M.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between UP Country Lions and Defenders FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UP Country Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
UP Country Lions
15%
Draws
32%
Defenders FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UP Country Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UP Country Lions come out ahead of Defenders FC on wins alone.
  • UP Country Lions are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • UP Country Lions have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
UP Country Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Defenders FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UP Country Lions Defenders FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 7
Draws 1 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.55 1.52
Goals Conceded 1 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Defenders FC
2:1
Nov 29, 2021 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Defenders FC
2:0
Feb 3, 2019 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Defenders FC
5:2
Sep 16, 2017 Super League
Defenders FC vs UP Country Lions
1:2
Jul 17, 2016 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Defenders FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UP Country Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Jude N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader York B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Defenders FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Aadhif M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UP Country Lions 85 / 100
Defenders FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UP Country Lions Defenders FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Country Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UP Country Lions found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Defenders FC conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

UP Country Lions has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UP Country Lions VS Defenders FC
3.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UP Country Lions

(Home)
11 Oct
Blue Star
3 : 5
UP Country Lions
13 Sept
Renown
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
08 Sept
Colombo
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
28 Aug
UP Country Lions
4 : 0
Blue Eagles
22 Aug
UP Country Lions
6 : 0
New Young's SC
Page 1 of 6

Defenders FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Defenders FC
5 : 1
New Young's SC
11 Sept
Defenders FC
4 : 0
New Young's SC
05 Sept
Defenders FC
1 : 2
Blue Star
30 Aug
Red Star
5 : 1
Defenders FC
21 Aug
Defenders FC
4 : 1
Ratnam SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UP Country Lions 9 9 0 0 35:3 27
2 Sea Hawks 9 5 3 1 17:4 18
3 Colombo 9 4 4 1 14:5 16
4 Renown 9 4 3 2 21:8 15
5 Red Star 9 4 3 2 16:11 15
6 Blue Star 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
7 Blue Eagles 9 3 1 5 8:12 10
8 Defenders FC 9 2 1 6 11:17 7
9 New Young's SC 9 1 2 6 7:36 5
10 Ratnam SC 9 0 0 9 5:35 0
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)