Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UP Country Lions vs Defenders FC

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Abege G.
89' Event
Mohamed Asmil K. A.

AI Match Summary

UP Country Lions in this Super League 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UP Country Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
UP Country Lions
6%
Draws
4%
Defenders FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UP Country Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Defenders FC haven't matched UP Country Lions's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on UP Country Lions taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
UP Country Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Defenders FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UP Country Lions Defenders FC
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 9
Draws 1 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2021 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Defenders FC
2:0
Feb 3, 2019 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Defenders FC
5:2
Sep 16, 2017 Super League
Defenders FC vs UP Country Lions
1:2
Jul 17, 2016 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Defenders FC
0:2
Sep 5, 2015 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Defenders FC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UP Country Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Abege G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mohamed Asmil K. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Defenders FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UP Country Lions 85 / 100
Defenders FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UP Country Lions Defenders FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UP Country Lions scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defenders FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

UP Country Lions went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UP Country Lions VS Defenders FC
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

UP Country Lions

(Home)
29 Jul
UP Country Lions
4 : 0
Red Star
17 Jul
Blue Star
1 : 9
UP Country Lions
10 Jan
Red Star
0 : 3
UP Country Lions
07 Jan
Renown
1 : 0
UP Country Lions
29 Dec
UP Country Lions
2 : 3
Colombo
Page 1 of 6

Defenders FC

(Away)
29 Jul
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
2 : 1
Defenders FC
28 Jul
Renown
3 : 0
Defenders FC
26 Jul
Jamshedpur
5 : 0
Defenders FC
12 Jul
Colombo
0 : 0
Defenders FC
10 Jan
Defenders FC
6 : 1
New Young's SC
Page 1 of 6