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UP Country Lions vs Pelicans SC

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UP Country Lions in this Champions League 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UP Country Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
UP Country Lions
6%
Draws
4%
Pelicans SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UP Country Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • UP Country Lions have won more games recently than Pelicans SC.
  • Model gives UP Country Lions a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • UP Country Lions have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
UP Country Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Pelicans SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UP Country Lions Pelicans SC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 1 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2018 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Pelicans SC
2:0
Dec 6, 2017 Super League
Pelicans SC vs UP Country Lions
3:4
Oct 11, 2015 Super League
Pelicans SC vs UP Country Lions
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UP Country Lions 85 / 100
Pelicans SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UP Country Lions Pelicans SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UP Country Lions's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Pelicans SC let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: UP Country Lions remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UP Country Lions VS Pelicans SC
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.17
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Defenders FC16104235:2534
2Colombo1695240:2032
3Blue Star16102423:1632
4Sea Hawks1693430:1930
5Renown1683529:2027
6Ratnam SC1683523:1927
7UP Country Lions1680830:2224
8Red Star1665531:2123
9Matara City1665525:2423
10Blue Eagles1665518:2023
11Solid1653836:3418
12New Young's SC1652922:2517
13Java Lane1645724:3217
14Pelicans SC1645719:3017
15Saunders16421022:3514
16Crystal Palace1634914:3113
17Negombo Youth16141118:467
18Super Sun00000:00