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UP Country Lions vs Sea Hawks - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League
Mon, Nov 23, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UP Country Lions host Sea Hawks in the Super League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: UP Country Lions at 2.46 goals for, 0.93 against; Sea Hawks at 1.85 for, 0.96 against. Past meetings favor UP Country Lions slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 4, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.06) back UP Country Lions to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
UP Country Lions
20%
Draws
34%
Sea Hawks
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UP Country Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UP Country Lions lately — more wins on the board than Sea Hawks.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on UP Country Lions taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
UP Country Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Sea Hawks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UP Country Lions Sea Hawks
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 18 16
Draws 1 5
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.46 1.85
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Super League
Sea Hawks vs UP Country Lions
0:1
Dec 6, 2021 Super League
Sea Hawks vs UP Country Lions
0:3
Jan 27, 2019 Super League
Sea Hawks vs UP Country Lions
2:1
Oct 1, 2017 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Sea Hawks
3:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UP Country Lions 85 / 100
Sea Hawks 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UP Country Lions Sea Hawks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Country Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UP Country Lions scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

UP Country Lions went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sea Hawks has conceded goals in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

UP Country Lions VS Sea Hawks
3.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UP Country Lions

(Home)
13 Sept
Renown
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
08 Sept
Colombo
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
28 Aug
UP Country Lions
4 : 0
Blue Eagles
22 Aug
UP Country Lions
6 : 0
New Young's SC
16 Aug
Ratnam SC
1 : 5
UP Country Lions
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Sea Hawks

(Away)
15 Sept
Blue Eagles
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
07 Sept
New Young's SC
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
31 Aug
Sea Hawks
1 : 1
Colombo
25 Aug
Sea Hawks
2 : 2
Renown
17 Aug
Defenders FC
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
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