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UP Plasencia vs Arroyo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023
UP Plasencia Logo

UP Plasencia

1 - 1
FT
Arroyo Logo

Arroyo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 game between UP Plasencia and Arroyo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
UP Plasencia
30%
Draws
23%
Arroyo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UP Plasencia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • UP Plasencia's 1.07 goals per match outpaces what Arroyo have produced (1).
  • UP Plasencia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
UP Plasencia Clean Sheet 68%
Arroyo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UP Plasencia Arroyo
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Arroyo
1:1
Oct 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs UP Plasencia
1:0
Jan 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Arroyo
0:0
Sep 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs UP Plasencia
0:0
Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs UP Plasencia
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UP Plasencia 95 / 100
Arroyo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UP Plasencia Arroyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Plasencia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arroyo let in goals in 84% of their last 37 matches.

UP Plasencia found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Arroyo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

UP Plasencia VS Arroyo
0.33 Goals Scored 0.63
1.17 Goals Conceded 2
33% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UP Plasencia

(Home)
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
31 Aug
Jaraiz
0 : 0
UP Plasencia
24 Aug
UP Plasencia
0 : 2
Moralo
Page 1 of 6

Arroyo

(Away)
11 May
Arroyo
2 : 2
CD Calamonte
04 May
Montijo
1 : 0
Arroyo
27 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 4
SP Villafranca
17 Apr
Moralo
5 : 0
Arroyo
13 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 2
CD Diocesano
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Llerenense 30 18 10 2 52:22 64
2 CD Azuaga 30 19 5 6 58:29 62
3 Moralo 30 15 10 5 52:24 55
4 Olivenza FC 30 15 8 7 46:33 53
5 Jerez CF 30 13 10 7 39:25 49
6 Arroyo 30 13 7 10 30:31 46
7 CF Trujillo 30 12 8 10 28:28 44
8 SP Villafranca 30 12 7 11 34:33 43
9 CD Calamonte 30 12 6 12 38:33 42
10 Fuente de Cantos 30 9 12 9 23:28 39
11 Pueblonuevo 30 7 11 12 36:41 32
12 Montehermoso 30 8 7 15 31:53 31
13 Don Alvaro 30 7 6 17 27:54 27
14 Miajadas 30 7 5 18 23:41 26
15 UP Plasencia 30 6 6 18 31:43 24
16 La Estrella 30 5 6 19 30:60 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 (Play Offs)