Sport Picks
UP Plasencia vs Hernan Cortes
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 14 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 14 2014/2015 game between UP Plasencia and Hernan Cortes finished 7-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UP Plasencia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hernan Cortes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and UP Plasencia come out ahead of Hernan Cortes on wins alone.
- UP Plasencia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
UP Plasencia Clean Sheet 10%
Hernan Cortes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UP Plasencia | Hernan Cortes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 2.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.79 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Hernan Cortes
7:2
Jan 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs UP Plasencia
3:2
Mar 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Hernan Cortes
2:0
Oct 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs UP Plasencia
1:0
Feb 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs UP Plasencia
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UP Plasencia 83 / 100
Hernan Cortes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UP Plasencia Hernan Cortes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UP Plasencia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Hernan Cortes conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
UP Plasencia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Hernan Cortes's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
UP Plasencia VS Hernan Cortes
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 4.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
UP Plasencia
(Home) 06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
31 Aug
Jaraiz
0 : 0 UP Plasencia
24 Aug
UP Plasencia
0 : 2 Moralo
12 Aug
CF Trujillo
3 : 0 UP Plasencia
22 Apr
UP Plasencia
0 : 0 AD Llerenense
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
24 Aug
UP Plasencia
0 : 2 Moralo
22 Apr
UP Plasencia
0 : 0 AD Llerenense
01 Apr
UP Plasencia
1 : 1 Miajadas
18 Mar
UP Plasencia
0 : 2 Moralo
Page 1 of 3
Hernan Cortes
(Away) 20 Aug
Hernan Cortes
2 : 0 Cabeza del Buey
01 Nov
Hernan Cortes
1 : 12 Betis
12 Oct
Hernan Cortes
3 : 1 Sauzal
17 May
UP Plasencia
7 : 2 Hernan Cortes
10 May
Hernan Cortes
1 : 3 AD Merida
Page 1 of 6
17 May
UP Plasencia
7 : 2 Hernan Cortes
01 May
Pueblonuevo
2 : 2 Hernan Cortes
19 Apr
Extremadura UD
7 : 1 Hernan Cortes
05 Apr
Castuera
1 : 0 Hernan Cortes
22 Mar
Deportivo Pacense
7 : 1 Hernan Cortes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AD Merida | 38 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 101:20 | 98 |
| 2 | Extremadura UD | 38 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 86:24 | 87 |
| 3 | Jerez CF | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 70:18 | 81 |
| 4 | CD Badajoz | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 71:31 | 77 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 55:40 | 66 |
| 6 | Moralo | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 65:44 | 65 |
| 7 | Don Benito | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 48:37 | 64 |
| 8 | CD Azuaga | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 44:44 | 55 |
| 9 | Pueblonuevo | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 50:42 | 52 |
| 10 | Santa Amalia | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 44:50 | 51 |
| 11 | Diter Zafra | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 51:48 | 50 |
| 12 | Fuente de Cantos | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 39:61 | 42 |
| 13 | Atletico San Jose Promesas | 38 | 13 | 3 | 22 | 48:75 | 42 |
| 14 | Olivenza FC | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 46:69 | 40 |
| 15 | CP Valdivia | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 43:73 | 37 |
| 16 | Sanvicenteno | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 34:61 | 34 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pacense | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 46:93 | 33 |
| 18 | Castuera | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 39:68 | 33 |
| 19 | UP Plasencia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 49:83 | 27 |
| 20 | Hernan Cortes | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 35:83 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
