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UP Plasencia vs Moralo

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Lopez M.
88' Event
Agbor M.

AI Match Summary

Moralo in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moralo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
UP Plasencia
30%
Draws
58%
Moralo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moralo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Moralo have won more games recently than UP Plasencia.
  • Model gives Moralo a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Moralo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
UP Plasencia Clean Sheet 16%
Moralo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UP Plasencia Moralo
Matches Played 31 45
Wins 7 30
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.03 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2024 Club Friendly
UP Plasencia vs Moralo
0:2
Mar 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Moralo
0:2
Nov 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs UP Plasencia
2:1
Feb 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Moralo
0:2
Oct 10, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs UP Plasencia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UP Plasencia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Moralo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agbor M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UP Plasencia 11 / 100
Moralo 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UP Plasencia Moralo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moralo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UP Plasencia's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Moralo has conceded goals in 51% of their last 45 outings.

UP Plasencia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UP Plasencia VS Moralo
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UP Plasencia

(Home)
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
31 Aug
Jaraiz
0 : 0
UP Plasencia
24 Aug
UP Plasencia
0 : 2
Moralo
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Moralo

(Away)
20 Sept
Moralo
2 : 0
CD Zafra
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3
Moralo
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1
Villanovense
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0
Moralo
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
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