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UP Plasencia vs Puebla de la Calzada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Coronado A. M.
73' Event
Rodriguez A.
81' Event
Pozo A.

AI Match Summary

Puebla de la Calzada in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puebla de la Calzada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
UP Plasencia
35%
Draws
52%
Puebla de la Calzada
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Puebla de la Calzada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Puebla de la Calzada lately — more wins on the board than UP Plasencia.
  • Puebla de la Calzada are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
UP Plasencia Clean Sheet 20%
Puebla de la Calzada Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UP Plasencia Puebla de la Calzada
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.04 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Puebla de la Calzada
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UP Plasencia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Puebla de la Calzada Compare

Top Goalscorer Coronado A. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UP Plasencia 12 / 100
Puebla de la Calzada 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UP Plasencia Puebla de la Calzada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puebla de la Calzada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puebla de la Calzada has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

UP Plasencia found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: UP Plasencia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UP Plasencia VS Puebla de la Calzada
0.33 Goals Scored 0.88
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.75
33% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UP Plasencia

(Home)
27 Sept
Castuera
1 : 0
UP Plasencia
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
31 Aug
Jaraiz
0 : 0
UP Plasencia
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Puebla de la Calzada

(Away)
03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
27 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
1 : 2
Quintana
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
13 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
Castuera
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2
Puebla de la Calzada
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
10 SP Villafranca 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
11 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
13 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)