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UP Plasencia vs Quintana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UP Plasencia host Quintana in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. This one's hard to separate. Quintana have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while UP Plasencia have conceded 1.54 and scored 1.04. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.73 vs 0.77, favoring Quintana. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
UP Plasencia
33%
Draws
48%
Quintana
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Quintana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • UP Plasencia have won more games recently than Quintana.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
UP Plasencia Clean Sheet 20%
Quintana Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UP Plasencia Quintana
Matches Played 28 4
Wins 6 1
Draws 6 1
Losses 16 2
Goals Scored 1.04 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 0.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UP Plasencia 36 / 100
Quintana 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UP Plasencia Quintana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quintana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quintana let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

UP Plasencia found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

UP Plasencia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Quintana has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UP Plasencia VS Quintana
0.75 Goals Scored 0.29
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.71
75% Over 1.5 29%
50% Over 2.5 29%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UP Plasencia

(Home)
27 Sept
Castuera
1 : 0
UP Plasencia
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
31 Aug
Jaraiz
0 : 0
UP Plasencia
Page 1 of 6

Quintana

(Away)
27 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
1 : 2
Quintana
20 Sept
Quintana
0 : 0
Gevora
13 Sept
Santa Amalia
3 : 0
Quintana
06 Sept
Quintana
0 : 1
CD Zafra

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
10 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
11 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
12 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
13 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
14 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
15 SP Villafranca 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)