Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Latvian Cup 2017. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. AFA Olaine have shipped 3.12 goals a game lately, while Upesciems have conceded 2.35 and scored 1.8. Past meetings favor Upesciems slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 26, 2017, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.29 - 1.55) back Upesciems to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFA Olaine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
26%
/ Low Confidence
- AFA Olaine carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Upesciems's way, sitting at 50%.
- AFA Olaine arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Upesciems Clean Sheet 15%
AFA Olaine Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Upesciems | AFA Olaine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 33 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.35 | 3.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.29 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 26, 2017 Latvian Cup
Upesciems vs AFA Olaine
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Upesciems 48 / 100
AFA Olaine 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Upesciems AFA Olaine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Upesciems Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AFA Olaine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.
Attacking prowess: Upesciems scored in 74% of their last 19 outings.
These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Upesciems remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS AFA Olaine
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 3.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Upesciems
(Home) 22 May
Upesciems
0 : 3 Dobele Allegro
18 Jul
Upesciems
2 : 4 Speks
03 Aug
Upesciems
1 : 3 FK Limbazi
17 Jun
Bebri
3 : 0 Upesciems
02 Jun
Upesciems
5 : 2 Lubana
Page 1 of 4
22 May
Upesciems
0 : 3 Dobele Allegro
18 Jul
Upesciems
2 : 4 Speks
03 Aug
Upesciems
1 : 3 FK Limbazi
02 Jun
Upesciems
5 : 2 Lubana
26 Jun
Upesciems
: AFA Olaine
Page 1 of 3
AFA Olaine
(Away) 08 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 4 AFA Olaine
01 Nov
AFA Olaine
1 : 1 Leevon PPK
25 Oct
Marupe
5 : 1 AFA Olaine
18 Oct
AFA Olaine
3 : 0 Skanste
04 Oct
Riga FC 2
7 : 2 AFA Olaine
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08 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 4 AFA Olaine
25 Oct
Marupe
5 : 1 AFA Olaine
04 Oct
Riga FC 2
7 : 2 AFA Olaine
20 Sept
RFS 2
1 : 2 AFA Olaine
30 Aug
Riga Mariners
6 : 0 AFA Olaine
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas 2
FK Sirius 0
TBD -
Aliance -
DSVK Traktors 2
Salaspils FK 1
TBD -
Preilu BJSS -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Lielupe -
BFK Salaspils -
TBD -
TBD -
Fk Jurnieks Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caramba -
TBD -
TBD -
Nica FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
Priekuli -
Ogre -
TBD -
TBD -
RTU -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JFC Dobele 1
Ludzas NSS 0
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Balvu SC 5
FK Limbazi 0
FK Alberts 1
Monarhs 2
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 10
FK Salacgriva 0
TBD -
Rezekne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Karosta 3
SK Cesis 0
Bauskas / Memele 0
Gulbene 3
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
FK Roja / Kolka 1
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
New Project 0
Upesciems 2
Super Nova -
TBD -
Super Nova -
Nikers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/32-finals
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas 2
Aliance 1
DSVK Traktors 0
Preilu BJSS 6
Jekabpils SC 8
Lielupe 1
BFK Salaspils 0
Fk Jurnieks Riga 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caramba 1
Nica FC 0
TBD -
Grobina -
Valmiera 8
Priekuli 0
Ogre 1
RTU 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JFC Dobele -
Tukums 2000 -
Balvu SC 0
Monarhs 6
BFC Daugavpils -
Alberts JDFS -
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 0
Rezekne 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Karosta 5
Gulbene 1
FK Auda Riga -
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine -
Upesciems -
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS 1
Nikers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/16-finals
Riga FC -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
Preilu BJSS 6
Jekabpils SC 5
Fk Jurnieks Riga 2
TBD -
Jelgava -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Caramba 4
Grobina 5
Valmiera 2
RTU 1
TBD -
FK Metta -
Ventspils -
TBD -
JFC Dobele 0
Monarhs 12
BFC Daugavpils 2
Rezekne 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Karosta 5
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
TBD -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine 7
Nikers 0
TBD -
RFS -
1/8-finals
Riga FC 5
Preilu BJSS 0
Jekabpils SC 0
Jelgava 8
Spartaks Jurmala 2
Grobina 0
Valmiera 0
FK Metta 3
Ventspils 9
Monarhs 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
FK Liepaja 1
FK Karosta -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine 0
RFS 4
Quarter-finals
Riga FC 3
Jelgava 2
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FK Metta 0
Ventspils 1
FK Liepaja 2
FK Karosta 0
RFS 7
Semi-finals
Riga FC 2
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 4
RFS 1
Final
Riga FC 0
FK Liepaja 2
