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Upesciems vs Speks - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Savalnieks N.
15' Event
Liepins M.
(Penalty)
16' Event
Groskops R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Speks advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Upesciems
15%
Draws
64%
Speks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Speks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Upesciems carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Speks's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Upesciems have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Speks, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Upesciems Clean Sheet 10%
Speks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Upesciems Speks
Matches Played 20 9
Wins 8 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.8 2.67
Goals Conceded 2.35 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2021 Latvian Cup
Upesciems vs Speks
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Upesciems Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Speks Compare

Top Goalscorer Savalnieks N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Oketola O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Upesciems 10 / 100
Speks 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Upesciems Speks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Speks Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Upesciems scored in 74% of their last 19 games.

Speks let in goals in 78% of their last 9 matches.

Solid form: Upesciems remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Upesciems VS Speks
2 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Upesciems

(Home)
22 May
Upesciems
0 : 3
Dobele Allegro
18 Jul
Upesciems
2 : 4
Speks
03 Aug
Upesciems
1 : 3
FK Limbazi
17 Jun
Bebri
3 : 0
Upesciems
02 Jun
Upesciems
5 : 2
Lubana
Page 1 of 4

Speks

(Away)
10 Jul
FK Metta
3 : 1
Speks
20 Jun
Salaspils FK
1 : 3
Speks
31 May
Speks
6 : 0
FK Union / JFK Daugava
01 Jun
Speks
0 : 3
Riga United
14 May
Speks
4 : 3
FK Alberts
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Kadaga/Ostas -
TBD -
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Preilu BJSS -
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FK Smiltene -
RTU 1
JFC Viola 2
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Riga United -
Sigulda -
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DSVK Traktors -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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BFC Daugavpils -
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Upesciems -
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AFA Olaine -
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Speks -
Jekabpils SC -
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Grobina -
Kalupe -
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Kengaroos -
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Dinamo Riga -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
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Fk Jurnieks Riga -
Alberts JDFS -
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SK Babite 3
Dobele Allegro 0
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Skanste -
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Gauja -
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Tente -
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe -
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Talsi -
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FK Auda Riga -
Caramba -
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FK Alberts -
Lielupe -
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Valka -
Riga FC -
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Kuivizu Spartaks -
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FK Limbazi -
Aliance -
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Bebri -
Tukums 2000 -
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Bauskas / Memele -
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Livani -
Salaspils FK -
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Rezekne -
Super Nova -
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Sports United/Cesis -
FK Varaklani -
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FK Madona Kvarcs -
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Latgols / Ludza -
Albatroz -
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Plavinas -
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FK Karosta -
1/64-finals
Kadaga/Ostas 2
Preilu BJSS 1
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
JFC Viola 5
Riga United 0
Sigulda 4
DSVK Traktors 3
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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Upesciems -
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AFA Olaine 0
Speks 2
Jekabpils SC -
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Grobina -
Kalupe 4
Kengaroos 5
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Dinamo Riga -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
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Fk Jurnieks Riga -
Alberts JDFS -
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SK Babite -
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Skanste 5
Gauja 1
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe 5
Talsi 3
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FK Auda Riga -
Caramba 2
FK Alberts 0
Lielupe 1
Valka 3
Riga FC -
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Kuivizu Spartaks 0
FK Limbazi 10
Aliance 4
Bebri 2
Tukums 2000 -
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Bauskas / Memele 1
Livani 5
Salaspils FK -
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Rezekne -
Super Nova -
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Sports United/Cesis -
FK Varaklani -
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FK Madona Kvarcs 1
Latgols / Ludza 3
Albatroz -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
FK Karosta 1
1/32-finals
Kadaga/Ostas 0
FK Smiltene 6
JFC Viola 5
Sigulda 2
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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BFC Daugavpils -
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Upesciems 2
Speks 4
Jekabpils SC 0
Grobina 2
Kengaroos 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Saldus SS/Leevon 2
Fk Jurnieks Riga 0
Alberts JDFS 1
SK Babite 0
Skanste 4
Tente 0
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe 1
FK Auda Riga 4
Caramba 11
Valka 0
Riga FC -
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FK Limbazi 4
Aliance 0
Tukums 2000 4
Livani 0
Salaspils FK 0
Rezekne 7
Super Nova 6
Sports United/Cesis 0
FK Varaklani 0
Latgols / Ludza 5
Albatroz 5
FK Karosta 1
1/16-finals
FK Smiltene 2
JFC Viola 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
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Speks 4
Grobina 2
Dinamo Riga 9
Saldus SS/Leevon 0
Alberts JDFS 1
Skanste 2
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 3
Caramba 1
Riga FC -
TBD -
FK Limbazi 0
Tukums 2000 2
Rezekne 3
Super Nova 1
Latgols / Ludza 0
Albatroz 1
1/8-finals
FK Smiltene 0
FK Liepaja 3
Spartaks Jurmala 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
Valmiera -
TBD -
Speks 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Skanste 0
RFS 2
FK Metta 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Riga FC 3
Tukums 2000 1
Rezekne 0
Albatroz 3
Quarter-finals
FK Liepaja 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
Valmiera 5
Dinamo Riga 0
RFS 4
FK Auda Riga 0
Riga FC 3
Albatroz 0
Semi-finals
FK Liepaja 2
Valmiera 0
RFS 3
Riga FC 1
Final
FK Liepaja 0
RFS 1