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Upington City vs Durban City

South Africa South Africa

Nedbank Cup
Sat, Feb 21, 2026
0 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Upington City play Durban City in the Nedbank Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Upington City averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Durban City averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Upington City won 1, Durban City won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Upington City and 1.31 for Durban City. This points to a Durban City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Upington City
33%
Draws
40%
Durban City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Durban City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Durban City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Upington City.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Durban City.
  • Cup tournament structure in Nedbank Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Upington City Clean Sheet 18%
Durban City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Upington City Durban City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Nedbank Cup
Upington City vs Durban City
0:1
Mar 28, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Durban City vs Upington City
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Upington City vs Durban City
1:3
Apr 3, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Durban City vs Upington City
2:0
Dec 2, 2023 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Upington City vs Durban City
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Upington City 28 / 100
Durban City 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Upington City Durban City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Upington City scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Durban City let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Upington City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Durban City lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Upington City VS Durban City
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TS Galaxy-
TBD-
TBD-
Marumo Gallants-
Mamelodi Sundowns-
TBD-
The Bees0
Gomora United1
Cardinals-
TBD-
TBD-
Jacksa Spears-
Vasco Da Gama-
TBD-
TBD-
Luthuli Brigades-
Hungry Lions2
Venda1
Leicesterford City1
Pretoria U.2
Kruger United0
Highbury3
TBD-
Sekhukhune-
SSU M-17-
TBD-
Milford2
Baroka0
Mkhambathi-
TBD-
Lerumo Lions1
Midlands Wanderers0
Golden Arrows-
TBD-
TBD-
Orbit College-
Stellenbosch FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Kaizer Chiefs-
Cape Town City0
Upington City1
TBD-
Magesi-
Durban City-
TBD-
TBD-
Chippa Utd.-
Polokwane City-
TBD-
TBD-
AmaZulu-
Siwelele-
TBD-
TBD-
Richards Bay-
Army Rocket-
TBD-
Black Leopards0
Casric Stars1
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila-
TBD-
TBD-
Orlando Pirates-
1/16-finals
TS Galaxy1
Marumo Gallants0
Mamelodi Sundowns2
Gomora United1
Cardinals2
Jacksa Spears4
Vasco Da Gama4
Luthuli Brigades1
Hungry Lions1
Pretoria U.2
Highbury0
Sekhukhune1
SSU M-171
Milford2
Mkhambathi2
Lerumo Lions1
Golden Arrows3
Orbit College0
Stellenbosch FC2
Kaizer Chiefs1
Upington City1
Magesi0
Durban City1
Chippa Utd.0
Polokwane City1
AmaZulu2
Siwelele3
Richards Bay4
Army Rocket0
Casric Stars3
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila1
Orlando Pirates4
1/8-finals
TS Galaxy2
Mamelodi Sundowns0
Jacksa Spears1
Vasco Da Gama0
Pretoria U.0
Sekhukhune1
Milford3
Mkhambathi0
Golden Arrows1
Stellenbosch FC0
Upington City0
Durban City1
AmaZulu1
Richards Bay0
Casric Stars1
Orlando Pirates0
Quarter-finals
TS Galaxy2
Jacksa Spears0
Sekhukhune2
Milford3
Golden Arrows1
Durban City2
AmaZulu1
Casric Stars2
Semi-finals
TS Galaxy2
Milford1
Durban City1
Casric Stars0
Final
TS Galaxy1
Durban City2