Sport Picks

Norway

Division 1 Women 2015

Kongsvinger W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This Division 1 Women 2015 encounter between Uraedd W and Kongsvinger W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Uraedd W averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Kongsvinger W shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Uraedd W, 1 wins for Kongsvinger W, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 14.10.17 ended in a 1:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.63 for Uraedd W and 1.25 for Kongsvinger W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Uraedd W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%

Uraedd W

15%

Draws

30%

Kongsvinger W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uraedd W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Uraedd W picked up more points recently compared to Kongsvinger W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.63 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Uraedd W Clean Sheet 19%

Kongsvinger W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uraedd W	Kongsvinger W
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	9	7
Draws	7	1
Losses	15	22
Goals Scored	1.03	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.65	2.77
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	4.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

14.10.17 Division 1 Women

Kongsvinger W vs Uraedd W

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

1:3

10.06.17 Division 1 Women

Uraedd W vs Kongsvinger W

Possession: 49% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

01.11.15 Division 1 Women

Uraedd W vs Kongsvinger W

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

20.06.15 Division 1 Women

Kongsvinger W vs Uraedd W

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

3:4

26.10.14 Division 1 Women

Uraedd W vs Kongsvinger W

Possession: 56% - 45% Cards: 2 - 4

3:4

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Uraedd W

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Kongsvinger W

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uraedd W 53 / 100

Kongsvinger W 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uraedd W Kongsvinger W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uraedd W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Uraedd W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.1%

2.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Uraedd W is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Uraedd W 61%

Kongsvinger W 24%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

Kongsvinger W will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Uraedd W's attacks.

Uraedd W 52%

Kongsvinger W 32%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Uraedd W to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Uraedd W 55%

Kongsvinger W 30%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Uraedd W vary their attacking width.

Uraedd W 58%

Kongsvinger W 29%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Kongsvinger W, allowing Uraedd W's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Uraedd W 50%

Kongsvinger W 33%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Uraedd W, while Kongsvinger W takes risks to salvage a result.

Uraedd W 63%

Kongsvinger W 35%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uraedd W attacking → ← attacking Kongsvinger W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uraedd W have found the net in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Kongsvinger W have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 5.00 goals per match.

Uraedd W remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Kongsvinger W suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 22

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uraedd W	22	17	2	3	65:24	53
2	Grand Bodo W	22	14	5	3	51:23	47
3	Asane W	22	12	6	4	40:20	42
4	Kongsvinger W	22	12	5	5	46:34	41
5	Lyn W	22	12	2	8	59:38	38
6	Byasen W	22	8	4	10	31:35	28
7	Fart W	22	6	9	7	39:35	27
8	Ovrevoll Hosle W	22	7	5	10	42:37	26
9	Aalesund W	22	6	4	12	30:51	22
10	Grei W	22	5	6	11	18:32	21
11	Haugar W	22	4	5	13	14:36	17
12	Sarpsborg 08 W	22	1	3	18	13:83	6